Tinder Box

We have been using the Tinder Box theme in NFTRH lately. As in, stock market sentiment is so bleak, so depressed as to be a Tinder Box with the elements to ignite a flame that bounces the market, to clear the over bearishness at least.
We have successfully followed a plan every step of the way… 1. down from the August breakdown, 2. up on the bounce to SPX 1975 or 2040 (hit 2020) and now 3. down to a test of the October 2014 / August 2015 lows, which is a decision point between a bounce or an entry into a bear market (by making a lower low to October 2014).
We arrive here amid an over bearish sentiment backdrop that is all out of whack with what has actually just been a twitch by the market in the big picture (with bull parameters still intact). So whether this is the bounce, as it seems to be – and we are getting some follow through despite the volatility – or it comes from a lower level, it is going to happen.

This post was published at GoldSeek on Friday, 2 October 2015.