Jim Kunstler’s 2014 Forecast

Over at ZeroHedge, Jim Kunstler’s latest post on his forecast for 2014 is a MUST READ!!  Readers should greatly benefit from his astonishingly honest take on everything from the shale oil sham to last year’s gold slam.  He even gets into Obamacare, Bitcoin the Euro crisis and the middle east.

Excerpt: Paper and digital markets levitate, central banks pull out all the stops of their magical reality-tweaking machine to manipulate everything, accounting fraud pervades public and private enterprise, everything is mis-priced, all official statistics are lies of one kind or another, the regulating authorities sit on their hands, lost in raptures of online pornography (or dreams of future employment at Goldman Sachs), the news media sprinkles wishful-thinking propaganda about a mythical “recovery” and the “shale gas miracle” on a credulous public desperate to believe, the routine swindles of medicine get more cruel and blatant each month, a tiny cohort of financial vampire squids suck in all the nominal wealth of society, and everybody else is left whirling down the drain of posterity in a vortex of diminishing returns and scuttled expectations.

Read the entire article at ZeroHedge.

Jim Rickards: The Fed’s Using the Wrong Models

James Rickards, author of Currency Wars, gave the following presentation at The Future of Money 2.0 in Bratislava, Slovakia on September 26, 2013.  A week later, Rickards gave the same presentation, though significantly abbreviated, at the Casey Research Summit in Tucson, Arizona.  In the presentation, he covers:

  • US Defense Department’s exercises in financial warfare.
  • Historical currency devaluations by countries to gain trade advantages.
  • Historical examples of re-establishing a gold standard after a currency collapse.
  • The current situation of Inflationary and Deflationary forces working against each other – an unstable situation.
  • Irving Fisher’s (and later Milton Friedman) theory of economics (Quantity Theory of Money … M x V = P x Q).
  • QE, Operation Twist, etc. have had no affect because money velocity is not responding.  2014 may bring efforts to put money directly into the hands of the people (e.i. Tax Cuts).
  • Complexity Theory may provide a better model for the Fed, as it shows that the economic system has become increasingly more interconnected across sectors.  It actually predicted the 2008 collapse and, unfortunately the model is even more densely integrated today, indicating a worse crash ahead.
  • The potential remedies the Fed or the IMF might enforce in response to the next collapse.

Jim Rickards on All the Taper Hype: Look at the Data!

Here’s some level-headed thinking from Jim Rickards, who was proven to be correct on his call that the Fed would not taper.  While the Fed would certainly like to taper, they’ve always stated that they would do so on the condition that the economic data continues to be strong.  But the economic reporting has been terrible, so the Fed didn’t taper and won’t until those reports show viable strength.  Jim also discusses what differences, if any, the upcoming Fed-chair change may make (none), gold’s future price expectations (higher) and his new book, The Death of Money (due out in April, 2014).


The Decline And Fall Of The Dollar & The USA

The following video from OneTruth4Life explains how America’s founding fathers created a sound money system, framed within Article I, section 8 of the Constitution.  It goes on to describe, in full detail, what’s happened since then – anti-Constitutional acts by certain government leaders and bankers, which debased the currency at various moments in history.  These acts seem to become more blatant as history proceeds, and have led to, or have been the primary motive for most, if not all, the military conflicts.  Furthermore, it will be the primary factor that will have brought the nation to its own doom at some point in the near future.


Doing The Math

Grant Williams is a strategy adviser for the hedge fund, Vulpes Investment Management in Singapore, as well as the blogger behind the popular Things That Make You Go Hmmm….  In the following video, Williams reviews the disconnects between the economic realities that exist in today’s world and the rosy pictures painted by governments, central banks and the main stream media.

  • Williams’ problem #1: The disconnect between fundamentals and equity prices.
  • Williams’ problem #2: The paradox behind China’s mysterious GDP growth during a time of reduced manufacturing, shrinking demand for raw materials and declining imports/exports
  • Williams’ problem #3: How is France able to sell its sovereign bonds at such low interest rates when all indications of its own economy are performing like those of the European periphery?
  • Williams’ final problem: The difference between the “Gold Price” and “The Price of Gold”

In the end, the laws of mathematics cannot be subverted by governments or central banks.  Central banks’ zero percent interest rate policies are damaging:

  • In the short term through the confiscation of savings and the forcing into riskier investments in the search for yield
  • In the long term by suppressing market volatility, which must be reconciled at some point


Mathematics, rightly viewed, possesses not only truth, but supreme beauty – a beauty cold and austere.
– Bertrand Russell

Economic Freedom vs Debt Slavery

Pierre Poilievre, Canadian MP, makes a plea for his nation not to follow in the footsteps of countries like the United States, where people have been encouraged to go into debt which will be impossible to repay, or like Europe, which is now ensnared in welfare programs that are impossible to stop without complete social upheaval.

  • Official US Debt is now larger than its economy.  Through current or future taxation, the US citizen is on the hook for this debt.
  • The US is on the cusp of funding 100% of the Chinese Military – just with interest payments alone!
  • The direction the US is going reflects the socialist policies already in place in Europe, where Greek citizens are taking to the streets to demand their government not halt the flow of welfare checks they have become so dependent upon.
  • It’s good that Europe has bail-out fund, but S&P has recently downgraded that fund, indicating that it, too, will soon need a bail-out.

One False-Flag Away from Martial Law

Now that the NDAA signed by the president last year has been stripped of the essential clauses protecting American citizens of their Constitutional rights, just how easy would it be for them to get away with another 9-11 event and seal the coffin lid shut on American freedom for good?  Before you dismiss the question outright, consider the following video carefully:

 

Ever since that fateful day, in the name of national security, the Constitutional rights of all Americans have been under attack, via such things as the Patriot Act, totalitarian executive orders, the continuing encroachment of Homeland Security initiatives and the inclusion into the NDAA of indefinite detention of American citizens without trial.

Now ask yourself this question: If there is an elite group (such as the Illuminati) holding key positions of power within  government, corporate and banking institutions, and they are indeed conspiring to subjugate America, what would be their next step?

If those bastards are so powerful that they were able to pull off the 9-11 event and keep their positions intact, then you also must consider what else they might be capable of doing.  Like, what would happen to the national psyche if a major US city, like Phoenix, for example, were to be suddenly vaporized in a Nagasaki-esque manner? (This is what S.K. Bain has fictionalized in his book.)

Absolute fear would grip the nation immediately. Martial Law would be declared. The new authorities already granted to the president under his own executive order would be cited and all resources would be seized by the government. Dissenters would be shipped off to all the FEMA concentration camps that have been prepared over the last few years. The internet would be cleansed of all  ‘unpatriotic bloggers’ while the ‘controlled’ main-stream-media tells the public that the Iranians are to blame. Religious leaders are quick to point out that Muslims are not only anti-Jew, but anti-Christian as well. It would be enough impetus to garner support for invading yet another middle eastern nation, and possibly lead to World War III if China and Russia run to the aid of Iran.

So the next question you’ve got to ask yourself is when would this elite group initiate their next move?  As the world economy spins toward ultimate depression, printing presses are already running at full tilt and there’s no real political will to tackle the underlying problems of the Fiscal Cliff – only moves to delay the inevitable collapse are given any attention.  Meanwhile, the national debt surges due to continued unbalanced government spending.   At some point, all these monetary shenanigans will become too obvious to the average citizen and a diversion will be needed to distract public focus.

Of course, they’ve not yet taken the guns away from the American public.  But the Second Amendment is indeed being threatened.  And history shows multiple examples where the confiscation of weapons is a precursor to genocide and despotism.

A final question to ponder is whether or not the agenda requires the Constitutional Second Amendment to be abolished prior to the more drastic event, or whether a more severe tragedy might actually aid in it’s own destruction?  As long as people continue their ignorance of freedom and refuse to accept responsibility for their own lives, they’ll happily increase their dependency on government wealth redistribution.  Lady Liberty’s lamp flickers in the wind.

Footnotes: For those that may scoff at the possibility of the existence of an elite group like the Illuminati, this radio interview with an ex-Illuminati member is quite an eye-opener (pun intended).  And a closer look at this country’s history reveals that Freemasons had successfully infiltrated civil offices and media control within early American society. After the scandal regarding the murder of William Morgan, many left the fraternity or went underground. A few words showing a hierarchical relationship between the Illuminati & Freemasonry might prove interesting.  A paragraph or two could also be included regarding the occult-rituals said to be practiced by the Illuminati to gain further insight regarding their motives in addition to significant dates and numbers held sacred by these elites. Perhaps some comments could be made on the recent Sandy Hook tragedy along with suspicious circumstances surrounding that event. But we’ve probably gone far enough down the rabbit hole already for most silver investors.

Tough Questions for Eric Sprott

Lauren Lyster puts the tough questions to Eric Sprott regarding gold and silver and whether or not investment in such is warranted, given the lackluster performance over the past year.  Sprott responds by pointing out that given the increases in quantities of the metal that have been purchased recently,  it’s highly likely that central banks have been leasing their physical gold into the marketplace in order to suppress the price.

  • In the last 12 years, the annual physical gold demand has increased by 2500 tonnes/year. But the supply of gold has remained flat.  Where does the new metal come from to meet this new demand?
  • Some rather prominent central banks have recently been subjected to questions asking about the validity of their gold claims held in foreign vaults (i.e. Germany and Austria).

The discussion continues to include:

  • The Fed is buying 90% of US Treasuries.  Japan and other central banks are practicing similar policies. Central banks of the world are trying to keep interest rates low for extended time frames, “which is ludicrous.”
  • Sprott expects silver to outperform gold in the next decade and points out the investment ratios he’s seeing from the entities making purchases of these two precious metals.
  • Lauren Lyster defines Hard Money and it’s relation to old and new central banking policies.
  • A record 47.7 million Americans are now on food stamps, according to the latest report from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP).

Expect Currency War to Continue in 2013

Author of Currency Wars, Jim Rickards explains that the Fed’s easing programs have thus far failed to create their desired inflation, which, in their view, is required to boost US exports.  Although Japan will be allowed to weaken their currency, all the other currencies of the world will be strengthened as the US strives to further weaken the US dollar. Of course, gold is still the currency of choice to preserve wealth.




Expanding the discussion, Lauren Lyster interviews Jim Rickards, where he clarifies the Fed’s tactics:

  • The economy has failed to recover despite the Fed’s actions so far because the consumer has not been willing to spend or invest.  Hence money velocity has remained nil.
  • The Fed is trying to induce more spending by: (1) Forcing a negative interest rate as an incentive for more borrowing, and (2) Scaring the public into buying stuff through the threat of future inflation.
  • The inflation, they hope, will be the result of all the currency wars with other nations, especially China – cheapening the dollar will make imports more expensive.

It’s a race between the Fed trying to achieve their goals and the whole system imploading because of a loss of confidence in the dollar.

Jim Rickards on War – Currency or Otherwise

In his book Currency Wars, Jim Rickards reveals his participation in war games sponsored by the Secretary of Defense in 2008. The objective of these particular games was to discover how nations of the world might use financial instruments to wage war on each other and to gain some perspective on their effectiveness.  In the video below, he goes a step further and hypothesizes on what events might take place between the US and China as the world economy continues to slide into the toilet.  Rickards ends the video with a probable sequence of events that will take place if we stay on the current path.

Greed, Fear, Bubbles and Market Madness

Grant Williams, of Vulpes Investment Management, provides us with a brilliant presentation explaining how greed and fear play into the making of economic bubbles.  After giving a few examples of historic bubbles of the past, Williams then goes on to describe two bubbles in the present.  Spoiler alert!

Williams presents the latter two bubbles happening today as one nearing a collapse and the other in a “sweet spot” ready to enter the hyper-inflating mania phase.

The End Game

We have around 6 months left of trading in Western markets to protect ourselves,” according to Raoul Pal, founder of Global Macro Investor and former Goldman Sachs hedge fund manager. “The problem is not Government debt per se. The real problem is that the $70 trillion in G10 debt is the collateral for $700 trillion in derivatives.”  See entire presentation below.

It’s now more important than ever to protect your hard-earned wealth from being destroyed by inflation or even outright theft by financial and government institutions. Please see our Protect Your Assets series to learn about ways to secure your wealth in the coming economic collapse.

The End Game

JP Morgan’s $2 Billion Loss Possibly Indicative of Bigger Problems Behind the Scenes

Update May 16, 2012: In contrast with Jim Willie’s speculation below, a much more renowned Jim Rickards has a much more probable thesis on the JP Morgan loss. The trade was actually a bet on the spread between the bond index and the bonds themselves. Time ran out, resulting in the loss. Read about it at USNews.

Here’s an interview with Jim Willie (TheGoldenJackass) discussing his speculation on what’s really going on regarding JP Morgan’s $2 billion dollar ‘whale trader’ loss.  Jim speculates that JPM’s declaration that it involved European bond investments that have gone bad doesn’t make sense because in the last 6 weeks those bonds haven’t changed so much to warrant such huge losses. More likely, according to Jim, is that these losses are much larger and they reflect losses in the credit derivatives markets. Furthermore, eastern nations like China are likely causing the rout in precious metals because they’re forcing the western commercial banks to sell to cover these losses in the derivatives markets.