Another Step Forward for Sound Money: Location Picked for Texas Gold Depository

The Texas Bullion Depository took a step closer becoming operational earlier this month when officials announced the location of the new facility. The creation of a state bullion depository in Texas represents a power shift away from the federal government to the state, and it provides a blueprint that could ultimately end the Federal Reserve’s monopoly on money.
Gov. Greg Abbot signed legislation creating the state gold bullion and precious metal depository in June of 2015. The facility will not only provide a secure place for individuals, business, cities, counties, government agencies and even other countries to store gold and other precious metals, the law also creates a mechanism to facilitate the everyday use of gold and silver in business transactions. In short, a person will be able to deposit gold or silver in the depository and pay other people through electronic means or checks – in sound money.
Earlier this summer, Texas Comptroller Glenn Hegar announced Austin-based Lone Star Tangible Assets will build and operate the Texas Bullion Depository. On Nov. 3, the company announced it will construct the facility in the city of Leander, located about 30 miles northwest of Austin. According to the Community Impact Newspaper, the Leander City Council has approved an economic development agreement with Lone Star. Construction of the depository is expected to begin in early 2018. Lone Star officials say it will take about a year to complete construction of the 60,000-square-foot secure facility located on a 10-acre campus.

This post was published at Schiffgold on NOVEMBER 16, 2017.

NOV 15/A ANOTHER RAID ON GOLD AND SILVER: GOLD DOWN $5.15 AND SILVER DOWN 10 CENTS/MARKETS IN ASIA CRUMBLE WHICH SET THE MOOD FOR EUROPE AND THE DOW/THE ALL IMPORTANT CPI SHOWS CONSIDERABLE ADVAN…

GOLD: $1277.7 DOWN $5.15
Silver: $16.98 DOWN 10 cents
Closing access prices:
Gold $1278.30
silver: $17.01`
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1289.94 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1281.20
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $9.39
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1292.56
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1282.40
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$10.16
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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX: 5:30 am est $1285.70
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1285.70
LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX 10 AM: $1282.20
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. 1282.60
For comex gold:
NOVEMBER/
NOTICES FILINGS TODAY FOR OCT CONTRACT MONTH:0 NOTICE(S) FOR nil OZ.
TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR: 991 FOR 99,100 OZ (3.082TONNES)
For silver:
NOVEMBER
2 NOTICE(S) FILED TODAY FOR
10,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 874 for 4,370,000 oz
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Bitcoin: BID $7121 OFFER /$7145 up $532.00 (MORNING)
BITCOIN : BID $7257 OFFER: $7282 // UP $668.00(CLOSING)

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on November 15, 2017.

Two-Thirds of Top Silver Miners Suffering Significant Production Declines

The world silver market may be on the verge of a major supply crunch.
Two-thirds of the top silver miners have suffered significant production decreases in 2017, according to information released by World Metal Statistics.
Through the first eight months of this year, silver production in Chile has dropped 20%. Austrailian production has fallen by 19%. Silver production in Mexico is down 2%. Peru has seen a 1% production decline. And China has had the biggest drop in mine output, according to the report, falling by a whopping 25%.
A report by SRSrocco identifies several factors driving silver mine production lower.
I believe global silver production will take a big hit this year due to several factors including, falling ore grades, mine closures, and strikes at various projects.’
The report highlights some of the production woes for major producers. Overall, production at top primary silver miners has fallen 9 million ounces so far in 2017 compared to the same period last year.

This post was published at Schiffgold on NOVEMBER 15, 2017.

NOV 14/GOLD IS UP $4.00 DESPITE BANKER ATTEMPTS TO QUASH THE METAL/SILVER ALSO REBOUNDS/SILVER AND FINISHES UP 3 CENTS/LONG TERM BOND YIELDS FALTER/CHINESE MARKETS FALL/THE ONLY POSITIVE TODAY WA…

GOLD: $1282.85 UP $4.00
Silver: $17.08 UP 3 cents
Closing access prices:
Gold $1280.50
silver: $17.02
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1285.54 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1276.15
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $9.39
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1286.85
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1277.10
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$9.75
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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX: 5:30 am est $1273.50
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1273.20
LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX 10 AM: $1274.60
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. 1273.86
For comex gold:
NOVEMBER/
NOTICES FILINGS TODAY FOR OCT CONTRACT MONTH:0 NOTICE(S) FOR nil OZ.
TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR: 991 FOR 99,100 OZ (3.082TONNES)
For silver:
NOVEMBER
2 NOTICE(S) FILED TODAY FOR
10,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 874 for 4,370,000 oz

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on November 14, 2017.

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts – The Wild Life

“You may be sure that no sordid compromises nor carrying of waters on both shoulders will see you through. Those who have the faith had better keep in the state of grace, and those who have neither had better find out what they mean, for in the coming age there will be only one way to stop your trembling knees, and that will be to get down on them and pray. The most important problem in the world today is your soul, for that is what the struggle is about.”
F. J. Sheen
“He prompts you what to say, and then listens to you, and praises you, and encourages you. He bids you mount aloft. He shows you how to become as gods. Then he laughs and jokes with you, and gets intimate with you; he takes your hand, and gets his fingers between yours, and grasps them, and then you are his.”
J. H. Newman, The Times of Antichrist
Stocks have been showing an interesting pattern, of rolling over and falling in the morning, and then rising again in the afternoon, led by purchasing of the SP futures it appears.
And gold and silver and the VIX and all other havens and alarms of risk and being tightly capped and suppressed, as is also visible on the charts.
We will see what the Consumer Price Inflation data has to say about things tomorrow.
Duc l’Orange will be back, and he promised even more fabulous news of his achievements.

This post was published at Jesses Crossroads Cafe on 14 NOVEMBER 2017.

Comex Gold Sees ‘Another Large Sell’ as Bullish Silver Betting Grows to 7-Week High

COMEX gold contracts recovered a $5 drop against a weakening US Dollar in London lunchtime trade Tuesday, rising back to last week’s finish at $1275 after what analysts called another “large sell” order on the futures market.
Commodities retreated and bond prices edged higher as world stock markets fell again.
Germany’s Dax dropped for the fourth session running after the 19-nation Eurozone released a raft of stronger economic data, led by 2.5% annual GDP growth across the region for the third quarter of the year.
“Speculative financial investors stopped withdrawing from gold and built up net long positions again in the week to 7 November,” says German financial group Commerzbank in a commodities note today, looking at the latest Comex gold derivatives data from US regulator the CFTC.

This post was published at FinancialSense on 11/14/2017.

Sentiment Synopsis

The Commitments of Traders (COT) reports are nothing other than sentiment indicators, but as far as sentiment indicators go they are among the most useful. In fact, for some markets, including gold, silver, copper and the major currencies, the COT reports are by far the best indicators of sentiment. This is because they reflect how the broad category known as speculators is betting. Sentiment surveys, on the other hand, usually focus on a relatively small sample and are, by definition, based on what people say rather than on what they are doing with their money. That’s why for some markets, including the ones mentioned above, I put far more emphasis on the COT data than on sentiment surveys.
In this post I’m going to summarise the COT situations for four markets with the help of charts from an excellent resource called ‘Gold Charts ‘R’ Us’. I’ll be zooming in on the net positions of speculators in the futures markets, although useful information can also be gleaned from gross positions and the open interest.
Note that what I refer to as the total speculative net position takes into account the net positions of large speculators (non-commercials) and small traders (the ‘non-reportables’) and is the inverse of the commercial net position. The blue bars in the middle sections of the charts that follow indicate the commercial net position, so the inverse of each of these bars is considered to be the total speculative net position.
Let’s begin with the market that most professional traders and investors either love or hate: gold.

This post was published at GoldSeek on 14 November 2017.

NOV 13/GOLD UP $4.85 AND SILVER RISES 16 CENTS/CHAOS IN ENGLAND AS THERESA MAY COULD BE OUSTED AS LEADER/TENSIONS AGAIN ESCALATE THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE EAST/GE CRASHES TODAY/

GOLD: $1278.85 UP $4.85
Silver: $17.05 UP 16 cents
Closing access prices:
Gold $1278.50
silver: $17.05
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1288.37 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1276.60
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $11.77
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1288.37
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1276.60
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$11.77
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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX: 5:30 am est $1278.40
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1278.10
LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX 10 AM: $1277.95
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. 1277.30
For comex gold:
NOVEMBER/
NOTICES FILINGS TODAY FOR OCT CONTRACT MONTH: 2 NOTICE(S) FOR 20000 OZ.
TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR: 991 FOR 99,100 OZ (3.082TONNES)
For silver:
NOVEMBER
1 NOTICE(S) FILED TODAY FOR
5,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 872 for 4,360,000 oz
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Bitcoin: BID $6729 OFFER /$6764 DOWN $308.00 (MORNING)
BITCOIN CLOSING; BID $6498 OFFER: $6523 // UP $78.00

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on November 13, 2017.

Silver Sign’s Confirmation And More

Briefly: In our opinion, full (150% of the regular full position) speculative short positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective at the moment of publishing this alert.
In our previous free analysis we discussed the silver market viewed from the non-USD perspective and we commented on the possibility of seeing a more visible corrective downswing in the USD after it moved closer to the 96 level. In today’s essay, we would like to further elaborate on the white metal – not only because we saw another sign in the non-USD silver price, but also because we would like to reveal a technique that can tell us when the next reversal in silver is likely to take place.

This post was published at SilverSeek on Monday, November 13th.

Two-Thirds Of The Top Primary Silver Miners Suffered Production Declines In 2017

It has been a rough year for many primary silver miners as two-thirds have suffered declines in production. Also, many high ranking silver producing countries are also experiencing a pronounced reduction in their domestic silver mine supply. According to the data put out by World Metal Statistics, Chile’s silver production is down 20% in the first eight months of the year, while Australia is down 19%, Mexico declined 2% and Peru by 1%.
The Silver Institute will be releasing their 2017 Silver Interim Report shortly which will provide an update on current silver production and forecasts for the remainder of the year. However, I believe global silver production will take a hit this year due to several factors including, falling ore grades, mine closures, and strikes at various projects.
For example, Tahoe Resources was forced to shut down its Guatemalan Escobal Mine in July due to a temporary suspension of its operating license by the country’s Supreme Court. However, even after the Guatemalan Supreme Court reinstated Tahoe Resources Escobal Mine’s license in early September, an ongoing road blockade has hampered the ability of the project to continue mining. Regardless, Tahoe’s silver production declined a stunning 6.7 million oz Q1-Q3 2017 versus the same period last year.

This post was published at SRSrocco Report on NOVEMBER 13, 2017.

NOV 10/GOLD DROPS $13.00 AND SILVER FALLS BY 11 CENTS AS THE BANKERS UNLOAD A HUGE $4 BILLION NAKED COMEX GOLD SHORT/BITCOIN DROPS A HUGE $718.00/CHINA WILL NOW OFFICIALLY ALLOW FOREIGNERS TO TAK…

GOLD: $1274.00 UP $13.00
Silver: $16.89 DOWN 11 cents
Closing access prices:
Gold $1276.20
silver: $16.91
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1293.33 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1285.70
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $7.63
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1292.60
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1284.45
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$8.15

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on November 10, 2017.

Fun on Friday: The Woman with Gold Hands

For this installment of Fun on Friday, I was planning on telling you all about a $9,000 ball of yarn. But this morning, I found something even better.
OK, since I brought it up, I have to tell you about the yarn. This runs along the same lines as the $185 paper clip I told you about over the summer. This ball of yarn is made from pure silver.
Now, this would be pretty cool if you could knit a silver quilt or a pair of silver socks out of it. But you can’t. It just sits on your table. You do get the pleasure of saying, ‘I spent 9 grand on a ball of yarn.’ So there is that.
Tiffany & Co. sells the silver yarn ball as part of its ‘everyday objects’ collection. ‘The Everyday Objects collection transforms utilitarian items into handcrafted works of art,’ according to the company website.
I love the description they used to describe the yarn ball. Imagine an NPR reporter saying this, maybe with some jazz in the background.

This post was published at Schiffgold on NOVEMBER 10, 2017.

A ‘Silver’ Lining In The Metals Market

First published on Sunday Nov 5 for members: Last weekend (Oct 28-29), I tried to explain why it looked as though the metals market has been telling different stories in the various charts I follow. And, in my mid-week update, I explained this a bit further:
When I look at the 3 charts that I follow in the metals complex, they seem to be telling a different story today, at least in their micro structures.
Silver seems to have broken out of its downtrend, and can be viewed as having completed wave i of its (c) wave to the target box above. GLD seems to be stuck in neutral, with the same ‘potential’ structure as silver, but without as much clarity to its micro count as silver has potentially presented.
And, then we are left with the GDX. As long as the GDX remains below the 23.05 level, it still has a smaller degree set up to test the 22 region before a rally may ensue.
So, on Friday (Nov 3), GDX has now dropped down and provided us the lower low I was looking for this past week right into the support region I noted last weekend between 21.95-22.30. Moreover, both gold and silver have now pulled back from their rallies begun this past week, and have still retained a set up to rally in the upcoming week.

This post was published at SilverSeek on Thursday, November 9th.

NOV 9/GOLD WITHSTANDS ANOTHER ATTACK FROM THE BANKERS AS IT RISES BY $3.25/SILVER HOWEVER DOWN 11 CENTS/NIKKEI SWOONS 800 POINTS BEFORE BEING RESCUED BY THEIR PPT/SAUDI ARABIA, KUWAIT AND UAE ALL…

GOLD: $1287.00 UP $3.25
Silver: $17.00 DOWN 11 cents
Closing access prices:
Gold $1285.50
silver: $16.99
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1289.93 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1281.60
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $8.33(premiums getting LARGER AGAIN)
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1293.60
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1283.70
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$9.90 PREMIUMS GETTING LARGER AGAIN)
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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX: 5:30 am est $1284.40
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1283.95
LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX 10 AM: $1284.80
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. 1284.60
For comex gold:
NOVEMBER/
NOTICES FILINGS TODAY FOR OCT CONTRACT MONTH: 2 NOTICE(S) FOR 200 OZ.
TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR: 975 FOR 97,500 OZ (3.032TONNES)
For silver:
NOVEMBER
5 NOTICE(S) FILED TODAY FOR
25,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 869 for 4,345,000 oz
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Bitcoin: BID $7119 OFFER /$7149 DOWN $328.00 (MORNING)
BITCOIN CLOSING; BID $7192 OFFER: 7217 // DOWN $265.00
end
Let us have a look at the data for today
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In silver, the total open interest FELL BY A CONSIDERABLE 1386 contracts from 208,500 DOWN TO 201,944 DESPITE YESTERDAY’S TRADING IN WHICH SILVER ROSE BY A RATHER LARGE 16 CENTS. THIS TIME WE HAD OVER 1000 EFP’S ISSUED BY OUR BANKERS IN SILVER FOR DECEMBER DUE TO THEIR ‘EMERGENCY SITUATION’ WHERE THEY DO NOT HAVE ENOUGH METAL TO SERVE UPON OUR LONGS. OUR LONGS AT THE COMEX RECEIVE A FIAT BONUS PLUS A DELIVERABLE PRODUCT AT A DIFFERENT EXCHANGE AND THAT NO DOUBT IS LONDON. THIS IS THE EARLIEST THAT I HAVE SEEN THAT EFP’S HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR AN UPCOMING DELIVERY MONTH. GENERALLY IT IS GOLD THAT IS THE MEGA RECIPIENT OF EFP’S WITH SILVER MUCH SMALLER. SO NO DOUBT WE WILL SEE HUGE AMOUNTS OF EFP’S ISSUED WITHIN A WEEK OF FIRST DAY NOTICE.
RESULT: A GOOD SIZED DROP IN OI COMEX DESPITE THE CONSIDERABLE 16 CENT PRICE RISE. COMEX LONGS EXITED OUT OF THE COMEX WITH OVER 1000 EFP’S ISSUED FOR A DELIVERABLE CONTRACT OVER IN LONDON WITH A FIAT BONUS.
In ounces, the OI is still represented by just OVER 1 BILLION oz i.e. 1.009 BILLION TO BE EXACT or 144% of annual global silver production (ex Russia & ex China).
FOR THE NEW FRONT OCT MONTH/ THEY FILED: 5 NOTICE(S) FOR 25,000 OZ OF SILVER
In gold, the open interest FELL BY A TINY 453 CONTRACTS DESPITE THE GOOD SIZED RISE IN PRICE OF GOLD ($8.35) WITH YESTERDAY’S TRADING . WE MAY HAVE HAD SOME MINOR BANKER SHORT COVERING IN GOLD. The new OI for the gold complex rests at 536,390. NEWBIE LONGS RE-ENTERED THE ARENA TO WHICH THE BANKERS DUTIFULLY SUPPLIED THE NECESSARY SHORT PAPER.. OUR BANKERS WERE MAY HAVE BEEN SUCCESSFUL IN COVERING A TINY PORTION OF THEIR GOLD SHORTS.
NO EFP’S WERE ISSUED FOR THE DECEMB CONTRACT MONTH.
Result: A TINY SIZED DECREASE IN OI DESPITE THE RISE IN PRICE IN GOLD ($8.35). WE MAY HAVE HAD SOME BANK SHORT COVERING. WE CERTAINLY HAD NEWBIE LONGS RE-ENTERING THE GOLD COMEX AREA TO WHICH OUR BANKERS REGRETFULLY SUPPLIED THE NECESSARY SHORT PAPER.
we had: 2 notice(s) filed upon for 200 oz of gold.
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With respect to our two criminal funds, the GLD and the SLV:
GLD:
No changes in gold inventory at the GLD/
Inventory rests tonight: 843.09 tonnes.
SLV
TODAY WE HAD NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV
INVENTORY RESTS AT 318.074 MILLION OZ

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on November 9, 2017.

Asian Metals Market Update: November-9-2017

Gold and silver are not out of the woods. So far Trump has not said anything to destabilize the markets. Fears of a surprise resulted in the rise of gold and silver yesterday. Developments in Saudi Arabia are here to stay. It may or may not affect metals and crude oil. The internet is filled with speculation that there is collusion between Israel and Saudi to expand Israel among other political agendas. Something is fishy in Saudi Arabia. Something big will happen in the Middle East over the coming months. Only big political news from the Middle east will impact global financial markets.
The trading volumes in bitcoins is not even five percent of its current potential. Bitcoins and other crypto currencies have a lot higher to go. A few Mount Gox type vanishing will be needed to prevent bitcoin prices from zooming. Nations will be forced to adopt and regulate bitcoins. Greater adoption of crypto currencies will imply greater investment demand for gold and silver.

This post was published at GoldSeek on 9 November 2017.

NOV 8/GOLD RALLIES $8.35 TO CLOSE AT $1283.75 AND SILVER WAS UP 16 CENTS TO $17.11/INDIA IS BACK WITH RESPECT TO GOLD DEMAND AS OFFICIALLY THEY IMPORT CLOSE TO 900 TONNES (WITH SMUGGLING OVER 100…

GOLD: $1283.75 UP $8.35
Silver: $17.11 UP 16 cents
Closing access prices:
Gold $1281.50
silver: $17.03
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1285.90 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1277.60
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $8.30(premiums getting smaller)
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1285.00
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1279.00
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$6.00 PREMIUMS GETTING smaller)
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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX: 5:30 am est $1282.25
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1280.85???
LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX 10 AM: $1284..00
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. 1285.10 ??
For comex gold:
NOVEMBER/
NOTICES FILINGS TODAY FOR OCT CONTRACT MONTH: 7 NOTICE(S) FOR 700 OZ.
TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR: 973 FOR 97,300 OZ (3.026TONNES)
For silver:
NOVEMBER
1 NOTICE(S) FILED TODAY FOR
5,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 864 for 4,320,000 oz
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Bitcoin: BID $7481 OFFER /$7505 UP $365.00 (MORNING)
BITCOIN CLOSING; BID $7319 OFFER: 7344 // UP $204.00

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on November 8, 2017.

Gold And Silver: Something Different Is Occurring

JP Morgan, at least according to the daily Comex warehouse report, added over half a million ozs of silver to its ‘historic’ stash of silver at the Comex: TF Metals Report. It would be even more interesting to see an actual independent accounting of that specific metal which would track the serial numbers on the bars to the legal owner of title.
I’ve been hedged in my mining stock portfolio since early September. The signal for me to hedge is the reliable Comex bank ‘net short’ position as reported in the weekly Commitment of Traders report. Since late summer, the bank net short position, and the corresponding hedge fund ‘managed money’ net long position, has been at an extreme level.
Historically this is the signal that the Comex banks will implement what I call a ‘COT open interest liquidation’ take-down of the gold/silver price using Comex paper to trigger hedge fund stop-loss positions. This enables the Comex banks to cover their shorts and print huge profits. It’s also illegal trading activity but that’s for another day.
In early September, in ‘eyeballing’ the gold chart in conjunction with the historical COT data I have set up in a spreadsheet back to 2004 , I figured that the open interest – which was in the high 500,000’s at the time – needed to come down at least 100-150k contracts. I thought it would take a price take-down from $1320 to $1230/$1240.

This post was published at Investment Research Dynamics on November 8, 2017.