Nate Silver’s Continual Underestimation of Donald Trump’s Chances

On January 18, I sent the article below (starting with the title Nate Silver Off the Mark on Donald Trump Nomination Odds) to the New York Times as an Op-Ed.
They did not publish it.
It’s hard enough getting something timely to major new organizations, and when you do, you have to sit and wait days for no response. The New York times has the best turnaround of the bunch, three days so I could have used this earlier.
This would have been more timely on the 18th and even more timely when I first started writing, but here it is now. What I have to say the is still relevant.

This post was published at Global Economic Analysis on Sunday, January 31, 2016.