Is Italy’s Banking Problem Becoming Too Big to Solve?

They said it was contained, but now it hit the largest bank. Ever since the European Commission and ECB jointly decided that Italy’s government could bend EU banking rules out of all recognition in order to bail out the country’s third largest bank, Monte dei Paschi di Siena, Europe’s financial stocks have been on a tear. But the good times were brought to a grinding halt Monday after Italy’s largest bank, Unicredit, which employs 55,000 people in 17 countries, announced losses for 2016 of 11.8 billion.
By the bank’s logic, it would have announced profits if it hadn’t had to write off 12.2 billion, including billions of euros of non-performing loans (NPLs) festering on its balance sheets.
But it got worse. In the registration document for its pending recapitalization, published on its website today, Unicredit also announced that its capital ratios at the end of 2016 might fall short of ECB requirements. It was enough to prompt a 5.45% slide in its shares. As detected in the ECB’s latest stress test, Unicredit already had the slimmest capital buffer of all Europe’s Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIBs). And it just got slimmer.

This post was published at Wolf Street on Jan 30, 2017.