Consumer Confidence Soars To Highest Since 2007 On Surge In Hopium

Last month’s sudden plunge (and biggest miss since Jan 2012) in Conference Board consumer confidence merely enabled an even bigger bounce this month. Consumer confidence surged to 94.5, its highest since October 2007, beating by the most since April 2013 (amid Ebola outbreaks). While the current situation was relatively flat, the surge in the headline data was purely due to a huge spike in future expectations from 83.7 to 95.0 – the highest since Feb 2011. Oddly, fewer people are likely to buy a car, major appliance, or house in the next 6 months but survey respondents expect a surge in incomes?
Hope is back at levels seen in 2005…

This post was published at Zero Hedge on 10/28/2014.

And The Brand New Fastest Appreciating US City Is… (Hint: Not Cleveland)

For those living in Cleveland, where home prices rose a tiny 0.8% compared to last year (a number which is sliding every month), the latest dead housing cat bounce is almost over, and with the release of the September, or at the latest, October numbers, expect the first Top 20 US MSA to go back into annual price decline for the first time in two years. Those living in America’s other cities are safe, for now. Then again, while still rising at a comfortable upper-single digit pace, all California cities as well as Las Vegas, are about to hit a brick wall, as the Y/Y pace of price increases is now grinding to a halt.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on 10/28/2014.

Giant gold nugget found in California finds secret buyer

One of the largest gold nuggets in modern times pulled from Northern California's Gold Country has sold to a secret buyer.
The new owner of the so-called Butte Nugget and its exact price will both remain mysteries at the buyer's request, the San Francisco Chronicle reported Saturday.
But Don Kagin, the Tiburon-based coin dealer who brokered the deal, said that a "prominent Bay Area collector" paid about $400,000 for the nugget weighing 6.07 pounds. That wasn't far off from the asking price, he said.
"Let's just say it's a win-win for everybody, Kagin said, adding that the nugget went up for sale Thursday with the deal finalized on Friday.

This post was published at Fox News

Australian scholar says futures markets suppress commodity prices, keep producing nations poor

Thirteen years ago the British economist Peter Warburton wrote that Western central banks were using the futures and derivatives markets and intermediary investment banks to control commodity prices giving rise to the adage: "The futures markets aren't manipulated. The futures markets are the manipulation."
Yesterday MineWeb's Lawrence Williams interviewed a mathematician and former stockbroker who holds a doctorate in math from the University of Melbourne, Australia, Fraser Murrell and who emphatically concurs, describing the futures markets as the mechanism by which the financially sophisticated West loots the developing world, which is dependent for its livelihood on the production of natural resources. The Western countries sustaining these futures markets, Murrell argues, thereby perpetuate poverty in the developing countries.
Of course this has been GATA's complaint for many years, but nobody at GATA has a Ph.D., just tinfoil hats.

This post was published at GATA

Swiss gold exports to India cross Rs 70,000 crore; banks turn wary after black money probe

As banks in Switzerland come under greater black money scrutiny, the quantum of gold having left Swiss shores for India so far this year has reached a record high level of over 11 billion Swiss francs (about Rs 70,000 crore).
The gold exports from Switzerland to India stood at over 2.2 billion Swiss francs (about Rs 15,000 crore) in September alone, which is double the figure for the previous month, shows latest data released by Swiss Customs Administration.
While industry watchers attribute the surge during September partly to increased demand for the yellow metal ahead of Diwali and other festivals in India, the sudden spike is also being seen suspiciously in the backdrop of gold being used for 'layering' purposes to move funds from Swiss banks amid growing scrutiny for suspected black money.
According to banking industry sources, banks operating in Switzerland, including those headquartered in the Alpine nation and the Swiss units of other European banks, have turned wary about dealing with their Indian clients in the wake of a growing scrutiny of such accounts.

This post was published at India Times

Swiss gold initiative advocates professionalize their campaign and need your help

The campaign in support of the gold referendum initiative in Switzerland on November 30 has been professionalized, erecting a comprehensive Internet site which, while in German, can be automatically translated into English if visited via a Google Chrome Internet browser.
Donations in support of the campaign are being collected at the Gold Switzerland Internet site, operated by Matterhorn Asset Management, whose managing partner, Egon von Greyerz, is a primary proponent of the initiative.
The referendum proposal would bar the Swiss National Bank from selling the country's gold reserves; require the bank to repatriate Swiss gold reserves from foreign vaults and vault all the national gold reserves in Switzerland itself; and hold at least 20 percent of Switzerland's foreign exchange reserves in gold.
Essentially the referendum proposal is a democratic revolt against unaccountable central banking and currency market rigging.

This post was published at GATA

Gold price suppression documents cited in debate at New Orleans conference

Documents that were included in a PowerPoint presentation by your secretary/treasurer during his debate with Doug Casey of Casey Research on Thursday, October 23, at the New Orleans Investment Conference — a debate whose proposition was "Gold Manipulation: Real or Imagined?," with your secretary/treasurer arguing that it is real — are cited below, though, because of lack of time, not all of them were reviewed during the debate.

This post was published at GATA

Greenspan says he’s not aware of gold price suppression through central bank leasing

The opportunity to question former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan about central bank intervention in the gold market was spectacularly fumbled today during Greenspan's appearance at the New Orleans Investment Conference.
Interviewing Greenspan, conference moderator Gary Alexander asked if the former Fed chairman was aware of efforts by central banks to suppress the price of gold by leasing the metal to bullion banks, which would sell the metal into the market.
"I'm not aware of anything" like that, Greenspan replied, though of course central bank gold leasing to suppress gold's price was famously a subject of Greenspan's testimony to Congress in July 1998.
During a break in the interview, your secretary/treasurer urged Alexander to follow up with a question about that testimony — and he did, but only to misquote it. Alexander asked Greenspan if he remembered testifying to Congress that "the Fed," not central banks generally, stood ready to buy gold, not lease it, to influence the price.

This post was published at GATA

Canadian household debt hits new high

The ratio of credit market household debt to disposable income hit 163.4 per cent in the second quarter, up from 161.8 per cent in the previous period, the agency said.
Credit market debt strips out trade accounts payable, or short-term credit — normally interest free in order to encourage commerce — that suppliers extend to small businesses, including home businesses.
That number is also about where households in the United States and the United Kingdom stood before home values crashed.
"Today’s report indicates that Canadian households are more financially vulnerable than had previously been thought," said TD economist Diana Petramala in a commentary.

This post was published at CBC News

Negative interest rates threaten to destroy not just savers but IMF as well

The International Monetary Fund has been forced to change the calculation of its most important interest rate after aggressive monetary easing around the world threatened to turn it negative.
Late on Friday the IMF said it was introducing a floor of 0.05 per cent for the interest rate on Special Drawing Rights, its own form of international currency.
The IMF's move shows how global financial conditions are now easier than they have ever been, more than five years after the end of the Great Recession, leading to the lowest interest rates in its 68-year history.

This post was published at GATA

Law Lets I.R.S. Seize Accounts on Suspicion, No Crime Required

For almost 40 years, Carole Hinders has dished out Mexican specialties at her modest cash-only restaurant. For just as long, she deposited the earnings at a small bank branch a block away — until last year, when two tax agents knocked on her door and informed her that they had seized her checking account, almost $33,000.
“How can this happen?” Ms. Hinders said in a recent interview. “Who takes your money before they prove that you’ve done anything wrong with it?”
The federal government does.

This post was published at NY Times

Economic Snapshot

Our view has been that a stronger US dollar would eventually start to eat away at corporate results, especially in the manufacturing sector and at US based companies with a global customer base. The decline in revenues thus far is something to be watched because where revenues go, earnings eventually follow.
[edit: the segment previous to this one reviewed a contrast between strong earnings and sagging revenues with companies that have reported earnings thus far] An article by Doug Short published at Business Insider on Friday illustrates how the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) called for a recession in 2011 and was promptly made to eat that call first by Operation Twist and then by balls out QE3. All the while as ZIRP has quietly whirred along in the background for 6 years.
ECRI’s weekly Leading Index is flashing warnings again…

This post was published at Gold-Eagle on October 27, 2014.

7 Things The Middle-Class Can’t Afford Anymore

Though there is some debate over the exact income a middle class household brings in, we do have an idea of who the middle class are – most working class people. Today’s bourgeoisie is composed of laborers and skilled workers, white collar and blue collar workers, many of whom face financial challenges. Bill Maher reminded us a few months back that 50 years ago, the largest employer was General Motors, where workers earned an equivalent of $50 per hour (in today’s money). Today, the largest employer – Wal-Mart – pays around $8 per hour.
The middle class has certainly changed. We’ve ranked a list of things the middle class can no longer really afford. We’re not talking about lavish luxuries, like private jets and yachts. The items on this list are a bit more basic, and some of them are even necessities. The ranking of this list is based on affordability and necessity. Therefore, items that are necessity ranked higher, as did items that a larger percentage of people have trouble paying for.
Vacations
A vacation is an extra expense that many middle-earners cannot afford without sacrificing something else. A Statista survey found that this year 54% of people gave up purchasing big ticket items like TVs or electronics so they can go on a vacation. Others made sacrifices like reducing or eliminating their trips to the movies (47%), reducing or eliminating trips out to restaurants (43%), or avoiding purchasing small ticket items like new clothing (43%).

This post was published at Zero Hedge on 10/27/2014.

$2.5 BILLION DOLLARS STOLEN FROM AMERICANS BY WHOM? THE ANSWER MIGHT SHOCK YOU…

The criminals in federal and local government will steal your money, even if you’re a law-abiding citizen. Don’t believe it? Just ask Carole Hinders (and 62,000 others), who has run a “modest” cash-only Mexican restaurant for many years. Last year two IRS agents came to her home to inform her they had stolen $33,000 from her, because she deposited less than $10,000 at a time, which the IRS viewed as an attempt to not trigger government reporting by her bank. She thought she was just doing everybody a favor.
‘How can this happen?’ Ms. Hinders said in a recent interview. ‘Who takes your money before they prove that you’ve done anything wrong with it?’
If you’ve been reading our blog, you already know the answer to that question. It’s the US government, and it is what they do. And it is increasing at a frightening pace.

This post was published at Dollar Vigilante on October 27th, 2014.

Futures Levitate On Back Of Yen Carry As Fed Two-Day Meeting Begins

If yesterday’s markets closed broadly unchanged following all the excitement from the latest “buy the rumor, sell the news” European stress test coupled with a quadruple whammy of macroeconomic misses across the globe, then today’s overnight trading session has been far more muted with no major reports, and if the highlight was Kuroda’s broken, and erroneous, record then the catalyst that pushed the Nikkei lower by 0.4% was a Bloomberg article this morning mentioning that lower oil prices could mean the BoJ is forced to “tone down or abandon its outlook for inflation.” This comes before the Bank of Japan meeting on Friday where the focus will likely be on whether Kuroda says he is fully committed to keeping current monetary policy open ended and whether or not he outlines a target for the BoJ’s asset balance by the end of 2015; some such as Morgan Stanely even believe the BOJ may announce an expansion of its QE program even if most don’t, considering the soaring import cost inflation that is ravaging the nation and is pushing Abe’s rating dangerously low.
Ironically it was the USDJPY levitation after the Japanese session, which launched just as Europe opened, moving the USDJPY from 107.80 to 108.10, that has managed to push equity futures up 0.5% on the usual: nothing.
And speaking of central bank meetings, the Fed’s own two-day October FOMC meeting begins today in the first ex-POMO day after many years of direct central bank intervention in the market, with the announcement due at the usual time tomorrow. Most commentators expect QE to end this month but for the Fed to keep the ‘considerable time’ language. Some mentioned that it would be interesting to see if the recent market volatility gets a mention. In short, nothing major is expected from the Fed although central banks still can surprise as Sweden’s Riksbanks showed today, when it sent the Krona tumbling to a four-year low against the dollar after the central bank entered the ZIRP club, cutting its main rate to 0.00%, below the 0.1%-0.25% expected.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on 10/28/2014.

Technocracy: One More Elite Hustle

The Fed has its critics, of course, and its unique constitutional dispensation is challenged from time to time, but its political independence is mostly seen as a good thing. Yet the idea of replicating that idea, and creating other permanent, semi-independent policy-making agencies, almost never comes up. There’s a reason for that. It’s hard to imagine that an independent fiscal agency, for instance, would ever be allowed to do for U. S. budget policy what the Fed does for interest rates. Decisions about taxes and spending – about who gets what and who pays – are too contentious, too close to the core of democratic politics. Congress will never permanently delegate them the way it’s delegated monetary policy. However, a bit more power-sharing might be possible, and that would be better than nothing. – Bloomberg
Dominant Social Theme: Technocracy is the hope of the future.
Free-Market Analysis: Call technocracy, the idea of a select group of private individuals running public affairs privately, the meme that will never die.
Now again, almost randomly, comes a call for action.
This one is uttered by someone called Clive Crook who has attended all the right colleges, worked for all the right internationalist publications and has decided absurdly that the example of the “independent” Federal Reserve ought to be extended to various failing government agencies.
We can see from the above excerpt that Mr. Cook is well aware that his affection for technocracy will not translate into reality, not fully anyway. But, he suggests, “a bit more power sharing might be possible.” In this case, he means between private implementation of public policy and government implementation.
Before going further, let’s look at the modern history of technocracy. We write “modern” because this idea goes back all the way to Plato and his idea of “philosopher kings.” Plato believed that philosophers, whom he differentiated from ordinary people because of their access to “wisdom,” were most fit to rule society.
By making this distinction, anointing some as better able to rule and wield power than others, Plato assured himself literary immortality. This is because every man or woman who has risen to a seat of great power has wished to use Plato’s formulation to justify their ascension.

This post was published at The Daily Bell on October 28, 2014.

Guess How Much Americans Plan To Spend On Christmas And Halloween This Year…

It is that magical time of the year for retailers. The period between mid-October and late December can often make the difference between success or failure in the retail industry, and this year will be no exception. As you will see below, it is being projected that Americans will spend a massive amount of money this holiday season. In fact, what Americans plan to spend on Christmas this year is greater than the yearly GDP of the entire nation of Sweden. So isn’t this good economic news? Shouldn’t we be happy that Americans are opening up their wallets so eagerly? Well, it depends how you look at it. Even though our spending is increasing, our incomes are not. As I discussed the other day, 50 percent of American workers make less than 28,031 dollars a year and incomes have been stagnant for years. That means that any increases in spending must be funded by more debt, and that is not good news at all.
In 2014, approximately 70 percent of all Americans will participate in Halloween. It seems like with each passing year this dark holiday become even more popular, and before it is all said and done it is being projected that Americans will spend a whopping 7.4 billion dollars this time around…

This post was published at The Economic Collapse Blog on October 27th, 2014.

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts – Spooky Janet and the American MIddle Class Zombies

Unlike the fiends of folklore fright; No coffin holds them safe for night. Our Vampires live amongst our ranks; And haunt us from their central banks.
A. S.
As a reminder tomorrow is a precious metal options expiration on the Comex.
Wednesday is an FOMC announcement.
Let’s see if the hinted extension of QE transpires. As if.
The Tories are trying to offset the subsidies for their wealthy by declaring their disabled ‘fit to work’ and slashing their benefits. And here I thought they could sink no lower. Oh, well done.
This afternoon Dennis Gartman forecast that crude oil would literally drop to ‘ten dollars’ and would, over the next twenty or so years, go the way of whale oil as it is completely replaced by fusion energy (supplied by Lockheed for example). He also urged the US government to start selling oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Looks like its time for Russia to throw in the towel.
I wonder what Dennis’ book might look like? Or whose it might be?
A technology is only as good and effective as its implementation and ‘roll out.’ This from a country that cannot even repair its bridges, or find the will to update its power grid.

This post was published at Jesses Crossroads Cafe on 27 OCTOBER 2014.