This Time, It’s a Bubble in Rentals

Sin City’s projected 5,000 new apartment units for this year makes no noise nationally in the latest real estate craze. ‘In 2017, the ongoing apartment building-boom in the US will set a new record: 346,000 new rental apartments in buildings with 50+ units are expected to hit the market,’ writes Wolf Richter on Wolf Street. That is three times the number of units that came on line in 2011.
Richter continues, ‘Deliveries in 2017 will be 21% above the prior record set in 2016, based on data going back to 1997, by Yardi Matrix, via Rent Caf. And even 2015 had set a record. Between 1997 and 2006, so pre-Financial-Crisis, annual completions averaged 212,740 units; 2017 will be 63% higher!’
I’ve written before about the high-rise crane craze in Seattle, but that’s nothing compared to New York and Dallas, that are adding 27,000 and 25,000 units, respectively. Chicago is adding 7,800 units despite a shrinking population and rents decreasing 19 percent.

This post was published at Ludwig von Mises Institute on Aug 4, 2017.