All the signs of peak bubble conditions are back – levels comparable to 1929, 2000, and the 2008 financial crisis. Artificially low interest rates coupled with quantitative easing (QE) has brought back the same dynamics that caused previous bubbles to pop as a result of unsustainable extremes, with runaway debt levels up and down the line at center. Yes, the cake eaters have been running rampant since 2008, however even with low interest rates sponsoring the largest debt bubble in history, this madness can’t continue indefinitely. The debt bubble(s) will be popped at some point (soon?).
This is evidenced in bank runs emerging in periphery economies – periphery economies that are coming closer to the core every day. As with the last such instances few saw coming at the time, the next unwinding will most assuredly arrive as well, this time likely exhibiting characteristics of previous episodes as well. Like the Canadian mortgage lender that recently crashed some 60% in one day, the single biggest surprise when they start will likely be the speed at which things can unravel, as cake eaters have become desensitized to such risk with the market interventions these past years.
Certainly some of the cake eaters in Canada have had their bell’s rung in past few weeks – with many more such instances likely on the way later this year – ‘the bell toll’s for thee’.
This post was published at GoldSeek on 15 May 2017.