Is the Gold Market Finally ready to breakout?

If pleasures are greatest in anticipation, just remember that this is also true of trouble.
Elbert Hubbard
Throughout 2016, we stated we did not expect much from Gold, and we stuck to this forecast, even though many experts went out of their way to report that Gold was ready to soar to the Moon or even to the next Galaxy. In fact, since 2011, we have continuously said that until the Trend turns positive, it would be best to play other lucrative markets, such as the general equities market, the US dollar, etc. During this time several experts stated that Gold was ready to surge and some issued insane targets ranging from $20,000-$50,000. Under no circumstance can we ever see Gold going to $20,000 or $50,000 and even if drank a whole bottle of scotch or any other toxic compound it would still be very hard to visualise such a target. Issuing such targets is perfect for fear mongering, and we find that tactic to be unpleasant and distasteful.
You would think that experts would try to release targets that made some sense. After all, Gold has not even traded past $2,000, so it makes one wonder how any individuals with a shred of common sense could issue a target of over $5,000. Even this target is quite high, and we only envision it being struck under extreme conditions. Don’t fixate on these preposterous targets for such targets are only for those who live in Lala land and have plenty of time to ponder over rubbish. Gold would need to trade past $1990 on a monthly basis to indicate significantly higher prices. Until that occurs, focus on targets that are below $2,000.
Having said that Gold has for the time in many years issued a confluence of bullish signals. The trend is still neutral but moving closer and closer to the bullish zone.
Let’s examine these bullish factors
Panic in the Gold Camp; we spotted a surge in frustration in the Gold camp when Gold traded below 1200 after creating the illusion that It was ready to take off in Nov 2016; this frustration soared when it broke below 1150, and it reached a screeching point when it traded below 1130
Many Technical Indicators, including several of our custom indicators are trading in the extremely oversold ranges on the weekly charts. Weekly charts, infers that each bar on the chart represents one week’s worth of data

This post was published at GoldSeek on 30 January 2017.