It’s Central Bank Bonanza Day: European Stocks Slide Ahead Of ECB; S&P Futs Hit Record High

One day after the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps as part of Janet Yellen’s final news conference, it is central bank bonanza day, with rate decisions coming from the rest of the world’s most important central banks, including the ECB, BOE, SNB, Norges Bank, HKMA, Turkey and others.
And while US equity futures are once again in record territory, stocks in Europe dropped amid a weaker dollar as investors awaited the outcome of the last ECB meeting of the year: the Stoxx 600 falls 0.4% as market shows signs of caution before the Bank of England and the European Central Bank are due to make monetary policy decisions as technology, industrial goods and chemicals among biggest sector decliners, while miners outperform, heading for a 5th consecutive day of gains. ‘The Federal Reserve raised interest rates last night, but they weren’t overly hawkish in their outlook. This has led to traders being subdued this morning,’ CMC Markets analyst David Madden writes in note.
The stronger euro pressured exporters on Thursday although overnight the dollar halted a decline sparked by the Fed’s unchanged outlook for rate increases in 2018, suggesting “Yellen Isn’t Buying Trump’s Tax Cut Talk of an Economic Miracle.”
That said, it has been a very busy European session due to large amount of economic data and central bank meetings, with the NOK spiking higher after the Norges Bank lifted its rate path, while the EURCHF jumped to session highs after SNB comments on CHF depreciation over last few months. The AUD holds strong overnight performance after a monster jobs report which will almost certainly be confirmed to be a statistical error in the coming weeks, while the Turkish Lira plummets as the central bank delivers less tightening than expected. Meanwhile, the USD attempts a slow grind away from post-FOMC lows.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Dec 14, 2017.

It’s A ‘Turkey’ Market

With Thanksgiving week rapidly approaching, I thought it was an apropos time to discuss what I am now calling a ‘Turkey’ market.
What’s a ‘Turkey’ market? Nassim Taleb summed it up well in his 2007 book ‘The Black Swan.’
‘Consider a turkey that is fed every day. Every single feeding will firm up the bird’s belief that it is the general rule of life to be fed every day by friendly members of the human race ‘looking out for its best interests,’ as a politician would say.
On the afternoon of the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, something unexpected will happen to the turkey. It will incur a revision of belief.’
Such is the market we live in currently.
In a market that is excessively bullish and overly complacent, investors are ‘willfully blind’ to the relevant ‘risks’ of excessive equity exposure. The level of bullishness, by many measures, is extremely optimistic, as this chart from Tiho Krkan (@Tihobrkan) shows.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Nov 14, 2017.

Gold Coins and Bars Saw Demand Rise 17% to 222T in Q3

– Gold coins and bars saw demand rise 17% to 222t in Q3, driven largely by China
– Chinese investors bought price dips, notching up fourth consecutive quarter of growth
– Jewellery, ETF demand fell while gold coins and bars saw increased demand
– Central banks bought a robust 111t of gold bullion bars (+25% y-o-y)
– Russia, Turkey & Kazakhstan account for 90% of 111t of central bank demand
– Turkey increased gold purchases and saw broad based physical gold demand
– Gold demand in Q3 at eight-year low as ETF inflows slowed sharply
– Gold demand saw 9% year-on-year (y-o-y) drop in to 915 tonnes (t)
– Total global gold supply fell 2% in Q3
Editor: Mark O’Byrne
***
By first impressions the latest World Gold Council report could make for pretty dismal reading if one were to consider the headlines that followed its release.
Much of the focus was on the fact that record and reported gold demand was at its lowest last quarter since Q3 2009 and down 9% year-on-year.
This was predominantly down to ETF demand which fell from the very high levels seen last year. ETF gold holdings climb by just 18.9t and jewellery demand which fell by 3%.

This post was published at Gold Core on November 10, 2017.

Turkey & USA Relations Turn Bad

The relations between the USA and Turkey have turned for the worst. The USA has now restored the need for a visa after audio recordings have surfaced indicating that the evasion of Iran sanctions was approved by the Turkish President Erdogan. The US arrested Turkish-Iranian gold trader Reza Zarrab in the case of money laundering when he was acting as a middleman between the Turkish government and Iran for years. Since there is now a possibility of the involvement of Turkey in helping Iran circumvent the sanctions, relations have taken a turn for the worse.

This post was published at Armstrong Economics on Nov 8, 2017.

Turkey on a Gold Buying Spree

Turkey is buying gold.
The question is: why?
According to a Bloomberg report, the Turkish central bank added 3.8 million ounces of gold worth almost $5 billion to its reserves this year.
Officials say the number may be skewed higher due to commercial bank deposits. But even if the central bank only purchased a third of that 3.8 million ounces, it would still rank Turkey among the top two or three gold buyers in 2017.
Turkey ranks 11th in the world in gold holdings, according to the International Monetary Fund.
So, what is driving Turkey’s appetite for gold?
The central bank says its merely diversifying. But some analysts speculate Turkey could be shoring up its reserves due to rising tensions with its traditional Western allies. Societe Generale SA analyst Robin Bhar told Bloomberg this theory is gaining ground in financial circles.

This post was published at Schiffgold on NOVEMBER 7, 2017.

Turkey: A Case Study in the Borrower’s Dilemma

Editor’s Note: Before we begin, allow us to mention a short survey we’ll be sending in next week’s This Week in Geopolitics. This will provide you with an opportunity to tell us what topics you’re most interested in. We want our content to reflect not only what is happening in the world, but also the interests of our readers. Stay tuned to see how your answers will shape our upcoming material.
The motivations that underlie a country’s decision to borrow money are not always strictly economical. Take Turkey, whose ratio of gross external debt (all public and private sector debt) to GDP has increased from 39% in 2012 to 52% today. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been pushing to increase investment by increasing available credit to spur economic activity. This is a political goal, though one motivated by economic objectives. The problem Erdogan encountered, however, is that there was not enough domestic capital available to meet Turkey’s lending needs.
When a country chooses to borrow, it has two sets of choices. First, should it borrow domestically or from abroad? Second, should its debt be denominated in domestic or foreign currency? Each option has its own implications, but it is particularly constraining when a country borrows from abroad in a foreign currency.
When debt is borrowed in another country’s currency, the borrowing country no longer has the option to depreciate its own currency through monetary policy in order to decrease the relative value of its debt. The other risk involved in foreign currency borrowing – beyond the risk already inherent in borrowing – is that the borrower’s currency will decline in value and increase the cost of debt service.

This post was published at Mauldin Economics on NOVEMBER 6, 2017.

Technical Scoop – Weekend Update Nov 5

Weekly Update
To the moon, Alice!
Ralph Kramden, The Honeymooners
And at the current rate it might not be too long before it’s actually there. The moon, that is. No, not Alice – Bitcoin. Yes, Bitcoin crossed $7,000 this week. It was less than a month ago Bitcoin passed $5,000. The riches are dazzling as Bitcoin is up 640% this year alone. Bitcoin now has a market cap of $100 billion. How much longer before it’s bigger than Amazon or Apple or worth more than the entire gold stock market? But the question continues to beg – is Bitcoin an historic bubble? Until it bursts, the question is strictly academic. And don’t forget, not only is there Bitcoin but there are now over 1,000 other cryptocurrencies. And Bitcoin has forks as well called Bitcoin cash and Bitcoin gold.
Okay, we are not going to get into a huge discussion of Bitcoin and how it is structured and what blockchains are all about. It is mind boggling enough trying to figure all of that out. We will have further comments on our weekly ‘Bitcoin Watch!’ commentary.
The stock markets made new all-time highs again this past week. That comes against the backdrop of the terrorist attack in New York City, indictments in the Russia investigation including former top aides of President Donald Trump, and possible brewing trouble in the Mid-East. There is also the escalating crisis in Catalonia in the heart of the EU, ongoing trouble between Kurds and Iraq/Iran/Turkey, and continued moves afoot to lessen the use of the US$ in world trade. As well, a new Fed chairman has been proposed. But all the stock market cares about is the potential to pass the tax bill that could put billions into corporations and the 1% even as it could create deficits estimated at up $1.5 trillion over the next decade.
Maybe the stock markets are also headed for the moon, albeit at a much slower pace. Still, the records just keep on falling and there seems to be little in the way of stopping it. We may wring our hands over the alleged terrorist attack that killed 8 and injured many more but largely ignore an attack in a Walmart in Colorado that left 3 dead that occurred not long after the NYC attack. And I might add as we prepare this for distribution another attack in some small Texas town in a church that has left multiple fatalities.

This post was published at GoldSeek on 5 November 2017.

US Links Erdogan To “Secret Gold” Trade With Iran; Lira, Bonds Tumble

While long forgotten for some, in the summer of 2014, we reported in detail on what appeared to be the biggest, most bizarre money-laundering scheme ever, involving Turkey trading “200 tons of secret gold” with Iran…
The topic of Turkey’s Oil-for-Gold ‘deals’ has not been far from our thoughts over the last few years (here, here, and here) but as Bloomberg reports, after accessing a report leaked on March 14 of a network that spanned Turkey, China, Dubai and Iran, the plot reveals “one of the most complex illicit finance schemes [prosecutors] have seen.” It included the classic money-laundering techniques of over-invoicing and false invoicing (exactly as in the case of the Chinese commodity financing scandal underway) but the secret government plan to juice Turkey’s exports goes much deeper; and if you think that the exposure of this scheme is slowing Turkey’s manipulation, think again. Turkey’s trade balance continues to fluctuate unpredictably as gold stocks flow out of the country in bursts. ‘Turkey’s going to continue it,’ the Turkish economy minister said. ‘If those casting aspersions on the gold trade are searching for immorality, they should take a look in the mirror.’ We first started noticing major ‘odd’ exports of gold from Turkey to Iran in May 2012. But in 2013, with a plunging currency, surging inflation, slowing growth, and specter of rapid QE-driven hot money outflows leaving his nation desperate; Zafer Caglayan, the minister in charge of Turkey’s $800 billion economy decided that the only way to ensure success in the looming election… was to cheat…
Read more here…
A farcical domestic investigation was undertaken and while the judges and officials who probed the money laundering scheme were either fired or reassigned, the findings in their report were leaked.
The leaked document that Erodgan tried so hard to hide, prepared by the Turkish National Police, shows that investigators probed the activities of a cast of characters that was both powerful and dependent upon each other for favors. There have been some arrests (but no politicians)

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Nov 3, 2017.

Dollar Rebounds, Futures Rise Ahead Of Surge In Payrolls

One day after the dollar slumped sharply on initial disappointment with the GOP tax plan, the greenback has rebounded ahead of a nonfarm payrolls report that is expected to show the US economy gained over 300,000 jobs in the post-hurricane rebound, and as investors reassessed the latest news on U. S. tax-cut plans. Stocks in Europe and Asia advanced, US equity futures were as usual in the green, while oil headed for an eight-month high on signs OPEC will agree to extend supply cuts.
In an otherwise quiet session, the biggest overnight news was President Nicolas Maduro announcing Venezuela will seek to restructure its global debt after the state oil company makes one more payment. While the risk of contagion is low, the emerging-market index of currencies declined for the first time this week. In early trading, the PDVSA dollar bonds maturing 2027 plunged at the start of trading, slumping 10 cents on the dollar to 20 cents in early London trading. As a result, EMFX weakened across the board with some analysts noting the Venezuela debt restructuring as a driver, though most weakness occurred after Turkey’s inflation report.
In global macro, markets are in their usual pre-NFP lull, with most G-10 currencies staying within yesterday’s ranges. The weakest quarter for Australian retail sales in seven years sent the Aussie lower and bonds climbing. The Aussie dollar dropped as much as 0.5 percent back below 77 U. S. cents and bond yields extended declines as traders pushed back bets on the timing for an interest-rate increase. The Bloomberg Dollar Index was steady in Asia, amid modest moves in most G-10 currencies, before edging higher with the start of the London session as fast-money names added dollar longs before U. S. jobs report. Treasury futures were stuck in tight ranges through Asian hours, on very muted volumes, just 37% of recent averages, with cash markets closed for a Japan holiday; as Bloomberg reports, TSYs came under pressure in London, widening vs Germany.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Nov 3, 2017.

The Big Macro Play Ahead

At NFTRH, we are about major macro turning points above all else. Of course, it is often years between these turning points or points of significant change so we are also about the here and now, and managing the trends, Old Turkey style.*
Since we are all learning all the time, I have no problem admitting to you that while right and bullish on commodities and stocks in 2009, after becoming bullish on the precious metals in Q4 2008, I completely ignored Old Turkey due to my inner biases. The result has been that after taking excellent profits from the precious metals bull, personally, I have greatly under performed the stock market bull despite holding a bullish analytical view for the majority of the post-2012 period.
Undeterred and ever plucky, we move forward. Currently, I play the bullish stock market like millions of other casino patrons, but this is as a trader and portfolio balancer, with the goal always to be in line with the macro backdrop of currency moves (I’ve been very long the US dollar for a few months now) and Treasury/Government bond yields and yield relationships.
This week something happened that has gotten me geeked out like at no other time since Q4 2008, when it was time to put the real precious metals fundamental view (as opposed to commonly accepted gold bug versions) to the test and go all-in. This week, assuming it is confirmed by remaining active through the FOMC next week, we got a short-term signal in Treasury bond yields that starts the clock ticking on a big macro decision point, which may include an end to the stock mania and the beginning of a sustained bull phase in the gold sector, among other things.
But first, we need to understand that the macro moves at an incredibly slow pace and one challenge I have had is to manage what I see clearly out ahead with the extended periods of intact current trend that seem to take forever to change. We as humans (and quants, algos, black boxes, casino patrons and mom & pop) are increasingly encouraged to try to compute massive amounts of information in real time and distill a market view from that at any given time, all at the behest of an overly aggressive financial media that wants to harvest your over exposed, bloodshot eyeballs on a daily, no hourly basis.

This post was published at GoldSeek on 27 October 2017.

Rand Volatility Surging Ahead Of ANC Leadership Conference

Volatility in the Rand is surging in the run up to a conference when the ruling ANC could replace Jacob Zuma as its leader.
According to Bloomberg, the South African rand’s price swings are set to increase over the next two months as the ruling African National Congress prepares to replace President Jacob Zuma as party leader during a Dec. 16-20 conference.
Two-month implied volatility for the currency against the dollar surged to the highest in more than 11 months on Thursday, a day after Finance Minister Malusi Gigaba rattled markets with a bleak budget speech. At 20 percent, it’s by far the highest among major emerging currencies, with Turkey’s lira next at 13 percent.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Oct 27, 2017.

OCT 25/GOLD AND SILVER WITHSTAND ANOTHER ATTACK AND CLOSE IN GREEN TERRITORY FOR GOLD/FLAT FOR SILVER/TROUBLE IN SPAIN AS PUIGDEMONT CANCELS TRIP TO MADRID AND WILL CONVENE CATALAN PARLIAMENT/GER…

GOLD: $1277.80 UP $0.70
Silver: $16.95 FLAT cents
Closing access prices:
Gold $1277.80
silver: $16.95
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1292.03 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1274.40
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $17.63(premiums getting larger)
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1289.01
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1731.70
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$15.31 PREMIUMS GETTING LARGER)
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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX: 5:30 am est $1273.00
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1272.10
LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX 10 AM: $1275.00
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. 1276.00 ??
For comex gold:
OCTOBER/
NOTICES FILINGS TODAY FOR OCT CONTRACT MONTH: 83 NOTICE(S) FOR 8300 OZ.
TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR: 3088 FOR 308,800 OZ (9.605TONNES)
For silver:
OCTOBER
64 NOTICES FILED TODAY FOR
320,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 1029 for 5,145,000 oz
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Bitcoin: $5564 bid /$5784 offer UP $68.00 (MORNING)
BITCOIN CLOSING;$5562 BID:5582. OFFER up $65.00

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on October 25, 2017.

Another Bear Capitulates: “Dude, Where’s My Emerging-Market Contagion?”

Just a few days Bloomberg’s macro commentator Richard Breslow once again capitulated to this market which just refuses to post even the smallest downtick as it enters its blow off top phase, saying it is a bubble, but you have no choice but to buy it, it is now that other ex-Lehman trader and Bloomberg macro voice, Marc Cudmore’s turn to capitulate on his aggressive bearish bets on Emerging Markets, and to ask, Hollywoodishly, “Dude, where’s my emerging market contagion.” To be sure, Cudmore’s bearish EM forecasts featured prominently on these pages in recent weeks and months, with a sampling of his articles below:
One Trader Thinks The Turkish Crash Will Lead To EM Contagion “Emerging Markets May Be Suddenly Hit On Multiple Fronts At Once”, Trader Warns Why One Trader Thinks Emerging Markets Are About To Get Slammed Cudmore Calls It: “The Correction Has Started” And so on. Unfortunately for Cudmore, not only have emerging markets not been hit on “multiple fronts all at once”, even when they are hit on a single front, as in the case of Turkey last week, they quickly adjust to the “hit” and the dip is immediately bought, resulting to near record highs in EM risk assets as well as the tightest EM bond spreads since the financial crisis…

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Oct 16, 2017.

SWOT Analysis: Gold In Focus After Climbing Above Key Threshold Level

Strengths
The best performing precious metal for the week was palladium, up 7.28 percent as money managers raised their net-long positions on continued expectations that the shift from diesel to gasoline powered cars will continue. Gold traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg are bullish for the first time in five weeks, reports Bloomberg. Following the release of the Fed minutes which showed rising concern about low inflation, the yellow metal climbed to a two-week high. A fresh flare-up in tensions with North Korea pushed gold higher this week, writes Bloomberg, along with a U. S.-Turkey diplomatic spat regarding visitor visas was supportive. The Indian government withdrew an order that brought the gold industry under anti money-laundering legislation, reports Bloomberg. Jewelers were included in the Prevention of Money-Laundering Act in August that increased compliance requirements. In response to the rule reversal, shares of jewelers climbed in the country. This move comes just as gold buying improves before the Hindu festival of Diwali, the peak season for demand, the article continues. Weaknesses
The worst performing precious metal for the week surprisingly was gold, up more than 2 percent, despite grabbing most of the precious metals headlines. According to the People’s Bank of China website, gold reserves in China came in at 59.24m fine troy ounces in September, unchanged again from the previous month, which unfortunately is beginning to become a trend. Chinese markets had been closed the prior week to mark National Day.

This post was published at GoldSeek on Monday, 16 October 2017.

Bill Blain: “This Time It Really Is Different! The Machines Have Taken Over And They Will Never Sell”

Submitted by Bill Blain of Mint Partners
Forget the Known Unknows, its the shocking surprises that are going to get us

‘Bubbles don’t grow out of thin air, they have a solid basis in reality. But, reality is distorted by misconception..’ And it’s a bad start to the week as my Bloomberg obliquely gave the finger by refusing to log me on.
Markets don’t care about my travails. They continue on their unstoppable upward trajectory. (Remember that word – trajectory, often parabolic. Look it up.) Lots of folks warning about complacency, but markets pay no heed. They prefer the global unlimited growth vibe..
Now, I know I sound like a broken record with my boring repeated warnings the market has gone overly frothy. I could counter with arguments about low volatility and short-tops painting a weakening technical picture. I could make arguments about how the short-term and long term business cycles all converge on weak indicators – I could even give you a lengthy discussion on how the Kondratieff ultra-long cycle says ‘run-away!’ I could refer to volume of money issues, or QE concerns. I could even point you to some astrological stuff…
Or I could point out what a worrying place the markets are. After reading through all the news this morning it strikes me we’re in thrall to a host of known unknowns.
If you want to worry, then pick your choice: it’s a delightful smorgasbord of things to go bump from the anniversary of the Hurricane and Crash of 87, the right-wing in Austria, noise about Tax reform in the US, Norte Korea, Kurds vs Iraq/Turkey, Catalunya vs Spain, UK vs Everyone, Trump vs the Universe, and everything in between. (In my own case, tomorrow is exactly a year since the unpleasantness with my primary pump – just doesn’t feel like it’s going to be a lucky week!).

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Oct 16, 2017.

Turning Point Nations On The Stage

Many are the turning points with individual nations, once firmly in the Western alliance camp, but no longer. They are flipping eastward or in the case of China cutting the major cords. The Shanghai developments are by far the most important in the financial setting. The Petro-Dollar is seeing its last months after a 43-year reign as defacto standard. Its retirement will begin in the East, then spread to the decaying loyal Western nations. The entire geopolitical chessboard is becoming more aligned with the Eurasian Trade Zone, one nation after another. Its cornerstones are Russia, China, and increasingly Iran. It has gathered some Eastern European countries like Turkey, and will gather more. It has pursued the Middle East oil monarchies, and will succeed in lassoing them into the zone corral. Whether they deploy financial connections, or trade ties, or security links, these nations no longer see the United States and British (who walk the American dog with a monetary leash) as the leading global players any longer. The leaders are China with its financial and industrial might and Russia with its energy and commodity strength.
As the global structure shifts in alignment, many nations will be involved in the shifts directly. It can be perceived as chess pieces in movement. The many bilateral connections are being altered, so as to fit within the new forces. The power center is moving from West to East, although certainly very slowly. Some call it a giant ship changing course, but the Jackass thinks of it more as a very large baby being formed with numerous umbilical cords, which requires a very long gestation period like that for an elephant. The Eastern centers must remove the vestiges of old colonial power links. It is a very slow process, whereby the East must accept losses from the uprooted stanchions. The Eastern leaders measure their risks, make the changes, and consider the losses as part of a reorganization much like done with the better observed structural changes done by IBM or Chrysler.

This post was published at GoldSeek

OCT 9/GOLD AND SILVER ADVANCE: GOLD UP $8.00 AND SILVER IS UP 23 CENTS/COMEX GOLD OPEN INTEREST FALLS BY OVER 2,000 CONTRACTS BUT SILVER DOES THE REVERSE AS SILVER LONGS REFUSE TO BUDGE/TRUMP IN …

GOLD: $1282.50 UP $8.00
Silver: $16.93 UP 23 CENT(S)
Closing access prices:
Gold $1284.80
silver: $16.98
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1300.79 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1281.60
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $19.19 (premiums getting larger)
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1300.79
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1282.30
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$19.49 (PREMIUMS GETTING LARGER)
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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX: 5:30 am est $1282.15
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1281.90
LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX 10 AM: $1278.75
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. 1279.90

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on October 9, 2017.

Global Markets Bounce As Germany, China, Spain Lift World Stocks, Turkey Crash Ignored

With no North Korean nuclear test over the weeknd contrary to a Friday morning rumor, S&P futures rebounded and edged higher as European stocks gain, led by Spanish shares after mass demonstrations in favor of Spanish unity and speculation Catalonia may back down on unilateral independence demands, while Chinese mainland stocks reopened catching up to gains missed during the holiday week following last weekend’s RRR cut.
World shares rose to start the week, with Chinese stocks hitting 21-month highs and the German index setting a new record, while political uncertainty triggered big moves in sterling, the Turkish lira and Spanish debt. US futures are also pushing higher in anticipation of the start of Q3 earnings season which begins later this week, with a number of Wall Street banks including JPMorgan, BofA and Citi set to report. While equities are open, the US bond market is closed today for the Columbus day holiday, while Asian markets were relatively quiet following holidays in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.
European stocks climbed at the start of a week in which investors were closely watching developments in Catalonia as well as U. S. earnings season kicks off. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index adds 0.23%, following four straight weeks of gains. All industry groups except miners climb. The IBEX 35 Index is up 1% as a senior member in the Catalan administration calls for dialogue with Spain, although the gauge is still down 1.2% since Catalans voted for independence in an illegal referendum. After a weekend of mass demonstrations in favor of Spanish unity, Raul Romeva, foreign affairs chief for the separatist government in Barcelona, insisted that the door was open for talks if Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy was willing to grasp the opportunity
As Bloomberg breaks down local markets, 18 out of 19 Stoxx 600 sectors rise; 407 Stoxx 600 members gain, 171 decline. Top Stoxx 600 outperformers include: CaixaBank +2.6%, Centamin +2.5%, TDC +2.4%, Man Group +2.4%, Metro Bank +2.0%. The Stoxx Euro 600 Index also received a boost from data showing German industrial output rebounded from a summer lull with its best month in six years. The euro nudged higher, while most European bonds rose. Gold climbed and crude oil erased earlier gains.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Oct 9, 2017.

SEPT 25/NORTH KOREA TO THE USA: ‘YOU HAVE DECLARED WAR ON US’ AND ‘WE WILL SHOOT DOWN YOUR WARPLANES’/ RUSSIA STATES THAT THE USA KILLED A BIG TIME GENERAL ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF DEIR-EZ-ZOR: IRA…

GOLD: $1308.45 UP $14.00
Silver: $17.11 UP 16 CENT(S)
Closing access prices:
Gold $1311.25
silver: $17.17
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1299.46 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1292.68
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $6.78 (premiums getting larger)
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1298.02
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1293.70
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$4.32
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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX: 5:30 am est $1295.50
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1293.19 ????
LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX 10 AM: $1293.30
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. 1293.95
For comex gold:
SEPTEMBER/
NOTICES FILINGS TODAY FOR SEPT CONTRACT MONTH: 0 NOTICE(S) FOR NIL OZ.
TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR: 83 FOR 8300 OZ (0.2581 TONNES)
For silver:
SEPTEMBER
67 NOTICES FILED TODAY FOR
650,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 6,303 for 31,515,000 oz

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on September 25, 2017.

SEPT 13/ANOTHER RAID WITH GOLD DOWN $4.20 AND SILVER DOWN 4 CENTS ON NEWS OF TRUMP’S SUPPOSED TAX REFORM COMING ON SEPT 25/USA THREATENS CHINA WITH REMOVAL OF THE SWIFT PAYMENT SYSTEM IF THEY DO …

GOLD: $1324.40 DOWN $4.20
Silver: $17.79 DOWN 4 CENT(S)
Closing access prices:
Gold $1323.20
silver: $17.78
SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: FIRST FIX 10 15 PM EST (2:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SECOND FIX: 2:15 AM EST (6:15 SHANGHAI LOCAL TIME)
SHANGHAI FIRST GOLD FIX: $1336.44 DOLLARS PER OZ
NY PRICE OF GOLD AT EXACT SAME TIME: $1332.55
PREMIUM FIRST FIX: $3.89
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SECOND SHANGHAI GOLD FIX: $1334.59
NY GOLD PRICE AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1331.55
Premium of Shanghai 2nd fix/NY:$3.04
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LONDON FIRST GOLD FIX: 5:30 am est $1332.25
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME: $1332.20
LONDON SECOND GOLD FIX 10 AM: $1327.55
NY PRICING AT THE EXACT SAME TIME. 1328.65
For comex gold:
SEPTEMBER/
NOTICES FILINGS TODAY FOR SEPT CONTRACT MONTH: 3 NOTICE(S) FOR 300 OZ.
TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR: 54 FOR 5400 OZ (0.1679 TONNES)
For silver:
SEPTEMBER
264 NOTICES FILED TODAY FOR
1,320,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 4,898 for 24,490,000 oz
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end
Let us have a look at the data for today
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In silver, the total open interest ROSE BY A RATHER LARGE 1031 contracts from 187,176 DOWN TO 188,207 DESPITE THE DROP IN PRICE THAT SILVER UNDERTOOK IN YESTERDAY’S TRADING (DOWN 1 CENT(S). WE HAVE NOW HAD THREE DAYS OF TORMENT AND YET THE SILVER OPEN INTEREST HARDLY BUDGES. THE LONGS ARE REMAINING STOIC AND REFUSE TO GIVE IN TO THE ANTICS OF THE BANKERS.
RESULT: A STEADY RISE IN OI COMEX DESPITE THE 1 CENT PRICE LOSS.
In ounces, the OI is still represented by just UNDER 1 BILLION oz i.e. 0.941 BILLION TO BE EXACT or 134% of annual global silver production (ex Russia & ex China).
FOR THE NEW FRONT MAY MONTH/ THEY FILED: 264 NOTICE(S) FOR 1,320,000 OZ OF SILVER
In gold, the open interest ROSE BY A MONSTROUS 6,487 CONTRACTS DESPITE THE LOSS in price of gold ($2.95 LOSS YESTERDAY). The new OI for the gold complex rests at 580,606. NO WONDER THAT WE ANOTHER FLASH CRASH AND ANOTHER DAY OF TORMENT FROM THE BANKERS.
Result: A LARGE INCREASE IN OI DESPITE THE FALL IN PRICE IN GOLD ($2.95). THE COMMERCIALS SUPPLIED THE NECESSARY SHORT PAPER. NO DOUBT THAT ANOTHER FLASH CRASH WAS ORCHESTRATED TODAY DUE TO THE HUGE RISE IN OPEN INTEREST IN GOLD AND THE STEADY RISE IN OI IN SILVER
we had: 3 notice(s) filed upon for 300 oz of gold.
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With respect to our two criminal funds, the GLD and the SLV:
GLD:
Tonight , we had a huge change in gold inventory last night: a huge addition of 4.14 tonnes of gold.
Inventory rests tonight: 838.64 tonnes
SLV
Today: no change in inventory.
INVENTORY RESTS AT 327.088 MILLION OZ

This post was published at Harvey Organ Blog on September 13, 2017.