SWOT Analysis: Turkish Demand for Gold Near a Four-Year High

Strengths
The best performing precious metal for the week was palladium, 0.41 percent. CenterraGold is set to buy Aurico Metals for $1.80 per cash share for a 38-percent purchase price premium on the Toronto Stock Exchange. Centerra currently holds more than $350 million in cash and has now secured a $125 million acquisition facility, according to Bloomberg. Gold prices rose after Saudi Arabia said a recent attempted missile strike at Riyadh’s airport could be an act of war by Iran. Additionally, Turkish investors are continuing to buy gold with demand expected to reach the highest since 2013. According to Google Trends, global searches for ‘buy bitcoin’ have overtaken ‘buy gold’ demonstrating a surge in popularity of the cryptocurrency. However, the BullionVault Gold Investor Index edged slightly higher to 54.6, demonstrating the number of buyers is higher than sellers. Weaknesses
The worst performing precious metal for the week was platinum, down 0.82 percent. Due to platinum’s primary use in internal combustion engines, the metal could be among the biggest losers from electrical vehicle growth, reports Mining Review. The World Gold Council said it’s a tough quarter for gold as prices weakened in September and October. Global gold demand fell 9 percent in the third quarter as investor buying slowed and regulations in India tightened, reports Eddie van der Walt.

This post was published at GoldSeek on 13 November 2017.

SWOT Analysis: What a Higher Budget Deficit Means For Gold

Strengths
The best performing precious metal for the week was palladium, down slightly by 0.42 percent. Germany’s BASF noted that the automotive industry appears to be responding to the price surge in palladium this year and are slowing down purchases. According to Bloomberg, gold traders and analysts are bearish for the first time in four weeks as the dollar strengthens. The passing of the U. S. budget by the Senate lifted hopes by boosting risk sentiment and pushing yields higher. Joni Teves of UBS says a large fiscal package is a key downside risk for gold as it would result in a higher policy rate path. Even though there has been a pullback in gold prices, large buy orders came into the market two times this week and spiked prices higher. On Monday, 18,1792 gold contracts were traded in a span of five minutes and on Wednesday another 21,129 contracts were traded. Tai Wong, head of base and precious metals trading at BMO Capital Markets, bets the dollar is going to retrace and it will be good for gold. Paul Wright, former CEO of Eldorado Gold Corp., will resign from his board position after 20 years at the company and just months after resigning as CEO. Although stock value tripled during his tenure, Wright’s late career was marked by a high-profile dispute with the Greek government after investing over $2 billion in the country. Following the results of the European Central Bank meeting, gold is seeing some selling pressure and trade surging after the dollar index rallied.

This post was published at GoldSeek on 30 October 2017.

SWOT Analysis: How Will Gold Move Into 2018?

Strengths
The best performing precious metal for the week was palladium, off 1.44 percent for the week. Citigroup favors palladium in the short term, in response to pollution control, but says substitution risks prevent the bank from taking a more bullish view long term as the price of palladium is now higher than the price of platinum. After the Indian government eased rules on gold purchases, the country’s demand for gold jewelry and branded coins appears to be better than the last quarter, according to P. R. Somasundaram, MD for India at the World Gold Council. The ensuing wedding season is the key for quarterly demand performance, Bloomberg reports, and with a good monsoon season, stable gold prices should encourage consumers. In the month of September, Swiss gold exports doubled month-over-month to 148.4 metric tons, reports Bloomberg. In August, exports were only 72 tons, according to the Swiss Federal Customs Administration. Specifically, Swiss exports to China rose 21 percent and to Hong Kong rose 92 percent. Weaknesses
The worst performing precious metal for the week was platinum, off 2.41 percent as palladium seems to be the more crowded trade. September makes 11 months straight of China officially reporting a zero increase in the level of its gold reserves, writes Lawrie Williams. The only time in recent years that the Asian nation has published any month-by-month gold reserve accumulations was in the 16 months ahead of the yuan being accepted as an integral part of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Special Drawing Rights basket of currencies, Williams continues. ‘We don’t think it coincidence that such month-by-month reporting effectively ceased once the yuan became part of the SDR, thus paving its way for acceptance as a reserve currency,’ the article reads.

This post was published at GoldSeek on 23 October 2017.

Palladium Price Hits 16-Year High

Palladium probably isn’t something you think about when you consider investing in precious metals.
Maybe you should.
Palladium broke through the $1,000 mark on Monday. The price of the metal has spiked nearly 50% in 2017 and is at its highest level in 16 years.
A UBS strategist told CNN she’s convinced palladium’s strength is driven by fundamentals.
Like silver, palladium has both industrial and investment value. It is used in cars, electronics, dentistry, and jewelry. Between 1988 and 2002, the Canadian mint produced a palladium Maple Leaf coin.
Commerzbank analysts talked up palladium in a note to its clients.
Palladium is continuing to soar. Not only does demand from the automotive industry appear robust – speculative financial investors are also remaining loyal to palladium.’

This post was published at Schiffgold on OCTOBER 17, 2017.

Palladium and Rhodium on Fire, Is Platinum Next?

Platinum was once the most precious of metals. For decades, it traded at a premium to gold. The other platinum group metals – palladium and rhodium – barely registered on investors’ radar screens.
Platinum lost its crown to gold in 2015. It was overtaken by the other PGM metals in recent weeks.
Given that platinum, palladium, and rhodium demand is largely driven by automobile manufacturing and the production of catalytic converters, one of these things is likely true; platinum is currently undervalued, or the other two have gotten ahead of themselves.
Which one is the correct assessment will depend on whether the current optimism for economic growth in both developed economies and emerging markets has been well placed. Either way, investors inclined to speculate on the PGM metals have some interesting market action upon which to trade.
Platinum does look remarkably underappreciated. It is hard to imagine it trading at a significant discount for too long.

This post was published at GoldSeek on Tuesday, 17 October 2017.

SWOT Analysis: Gold In Focus After Climbing Above Key Threshold Level

Strengths
The best performing precious metal for the week was palladium, up 7.28 percent as money managers raised their net-long positions on continued expectations that the shift from diesel to gasoline powered cars will continue. Gold traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg are bullish for the first time in five weeks, reports Bloomberg. Following the release of the Fed minutes which showed rising concern about low inflation, the yellow metal climbed to a two-week high. A fresh flare-up in tensions with North Korea pushed gold higher this week, writes Bloomberg, along with a U. S.-Turkey diplomatic spat regarding visitor visas was supportive. The Indian government withdrew an order that brought the gold industry under anti money-laundering legislation, reports Bloomberg. Jewelers were included in the Prevention of Money-Laundering Act in August that increased compliance requirements. In response to the rule reversal, shares of jewelers climbed in the country. This move comes just as gold buying improves before the Hindu festival of Diwali, the peak season for demand, the article continues. Weaknesses
The worst performing precious metal for the week surprisingly was gold, up more than 2 percent, despite grabbing most of the precious metals headlines. According to the People’s Bank of China website, gold reserves in China came in at 59.24m fine troy ounces in September, unchanged again from the previous month, which unfortunately is beginning to become a trend. Chinese markets had been closed the prior week to mark National Day.

This post was published at GoldSeek on Monday, 16 October 2017.

3 New Intraday Lows at the London P.M. Gold Fix

07 October 2017 — Saturday
YESTERDAY in GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM and PALLADIUM
The gold price traded mostly sideways in Far East trading on their Friday, but developed a slight positive bias around the time that London opened. That lasted until shortly before the noon silver fix over there — and the price began to slide a bit. There was only a tiny price jiggle at the release of the jobs report at 8:30 a.m. in New York, but the price was pressured lower until the low tick of the day…and new intraday low for this move down…was set at the afternoon gold fix in London. It rallied sharply from there, before getting capped at the London close — and from that point chopped quietly, but unevenly higher for the rest of the Friday session.
The CME Group reported the low and high ticks at $1,262.80 and $1,279.20 in the December contract.
Gold finished the Friday session on its high tick of the day at $1,276.10 spot — and up $8.30 from Thursday’s close. Not surprisingly, net volume was over the moon at something around 352,000 contracts.

This post was published at GoldSeek on Sunday, 8 October 2017.

SWOT Analysis: Gold Falls – Can It Get Back Up?

By Frank Holmes
Strengths
The best performing precious metal this week was palladium, up 1.67 percent. Palladium prices rose above platinum prices on expectations there may be a surge in gasoline engines from China before clamp downs on their use comes into effect. Gold traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg maintained their bearish bias for a third week despite North Korean tensions escalating after our military show of force last weekend with fly-by of their airspace. Despite gold having a lousy month with negative price action and a spike in volatility, to four-month highs seen in the metal, holdings in exchanged traded funds rose to their highest levels since last November. At this week’s Denver Gold Form, Randal Oliphant noted that the industry may be reaching peak gold production as major new discoveries have waned over the last couple of decades, despite industry spending or changes in technology. Weaknesses
The worst performing precious metal this week was platinum, down 2.20 percent. Platinum is suffering a continued loss of market share to palladium in the near-term play out. Comments earlier in the week from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen sent gold lower. Yellen said that it would be imprudent to leave rates on hold until inflation reaches 2 percent this year. Her co

This post was published at GoldSeek on Monday, 2 October 2017.

Gold Matches S&P 500 Performance In First 3 Quarters; Up 12% 2017 YTD

Editor Mark O’Byrne
– Gold climbs over 12% in YTD, matching S&P500 performance
– Palladium best performing market, surges 36% 2017 YTD
– Gold outperforms Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50, FTSE and ISEQ
– Geo-political concerns including Trump and North Korea supporting gold
– Safe haven demand should push gold higher in Q4
– Owning physical gold not dependent on third party websites and technology remains essential
***
In the year-to-date the gold price performance has matched the S&P 500, climbing over 12%.
Gold’s matching of the S&P 500 is particularly impressive when you consider the record-breaking performance of the benchmark stock market index in the last year. Yesterday it advanced 0.1% to 2510.06, a new all time record high price.
It is also impressive considering sentiment towards stocks is shall we say ‘irrationally exuberant’, while sentiment towards gold remains muted despite gold eking out gains in 2016 and now again in 2017.

This post was published at Gold Core on September 29, 2017.

Gold Price Down Again Amid US Rate-Rise Bets, Strong China Trading, Pall-Plat Parity

Gold prices fell beneath yesterday’s 1-month lows in London trade Thursday, dipping to $1278 per ounce as most commodities edged higher with world stock markets.
With gold prices now falling almost 6% from early September’s 12-month Dollar high, silver today fell to $16.70 per ounce – down more than 8% from 3 weeks ago.
Platinum meantime dropped to 9-week lows beneath $920, trading below sister-metal palladium for the first time in 16 years.
Following Janet Yellen’s comments from Tuesday on needing to tighten US policy sooner than expected, US Treasury bond prices also fell again, driving the interest rate offered to investors by 10-year notes up to 2.34%, the most since 11 July.
Gold was then trading at $1211 per ounce.
Betting on US interest rates now see a 76% chance of the Fed raising at its December meeting, up from just 33% one month ago.
EAD MORE

This post was published at FinancialSense on 09/28/2017.

SWOT Analysis: Opportunities Across the Gold Mining Space

Strengths
Typical of FOMC meeting weeks, we tend to see the precious metals take a hit. The best performing precious metal for the week was palladium, off 0.43 percent on little market moving news. Ford announced that it will add more downtime to five North American automobile plants due to a decrease in demand as inventories rise on dealer lots. The gold price could soon recover, says Jason Schenker, president and founder of Prestige Economics, the reason being that the Federal Reserve might raise rates less rapidly because of low U. S. inflation. ‘The fact that the Fed members lowered their forecast for their own future Fed funds rate indicates that the Fed may again kind of undershoot what they’re predicting they’re going to do for rates,’ Schenker told Bloomberg. This could end up being neutral to bearish for the dollar, which would help support the gold price. Gold has begun to climb back toward $1,300 an ounce on safe-haven demand now that tensions between Washington and Pyongyang are steeply escalating. Following new U. S. sanctions against North Korea, the rogue Asian country’s leader Kim Jong-un threatened to detonate a hydrogen bomb in the middle of the Pacific Ocean. With the back-and-forth rhetoric intensifying, investors’ interest in safe havens, gold included, has been renewed. Weaknesses
The worst performing precious metal for the week was platinum, off 3.77 percent. Platinum prices has been out of favor for the last couple of years, recently prompting Impala Platinum, the world’s second largest producer, to propose some job cuts in South Africa that could lead to supply disruptions if labor is not on the same page. Earlier this week, gold dropped below $1,300 an ounce as risks receded of another hurricane striking the mainland U. S. and as major stock market averages continued to hit record highs on a near-daily basis. In addition, a diplomatic resolution to the nuclear standoff with North Korea appeared likely, with Secretary of State Rex Tillerson saying the U. S. is seeking a peaceful conclusion.

This post was published at GoldSeek on Monday, 25 September 2017.

Former UBS Trader Arrested, Charged With Rigging Gold Prices

Three years after we first identified the former head of UBS’s gold desk in Zurich as someone directly implicated in the rigging of precious metals prices, Bloomberg reports that Andre Flotron, a Swiss resident, was arrested while visiting the U. S., according to people familiar with the matter.
Having been “on leave” since 2014, it appears Andre’s hope that he was gone but “keen to return in due time” are now up in smoke.
As Bloomberg reports, Flotron was charged with conspiracy, wire fraud, commodities fraud and spoofing, according to a prepared complaint, and is the second person publicly charged in the U. S. investigation into the fixing of gold, silver, platinum and palladium prices.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Sep 13, 2017.

Feds File Suit in One of the Largest Precious Metal Fraud Cases in History

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed a civil lawsuit against California-based gold dealer Monex Deposit Co. in what officials call one of the largest precious metals fraud cases in the history of the commission.
The CFTC alleges Monex defrauded thousands of retail customers nationwide out of hundreds of millions of dollars, while executing illegal, off-exchange, leveraged commodity transactions.

As alleged, the Defendants defrauded thousands of retail customers – many of whom are elderly – out of hundreds of millions of dollars as part of a multi-year scheme. Fraud in our markets, like that alleged here, undermines confidence, reduces transparency, and harms competition. As this investigation shows, we’ll work tirelessly to detect and prosecute fraud of the sort that’s alleged here.’
The allegations revolve around leveraged trading in gold, silver, platinum and palladium through the company’s ‘Atlas’ program. Leveraged trading simply means the investor borrows money in order to invest in precious metals. If the investment pans out, the metal will increase in value enough to repay the loan, cover commissions and interest, and generate a positive return.

This post was published at Schiffgold on SEPTEMBER 7, 2017.

Gold Surges To $1338 as U.S. Warns of ‘Massive’ Military Response

– Safe haven gold extends rally to 11-month high after North Korea nuke test and U. S. warns of ‘massive’ response
– Asian and European stocks fall, bonds flat, gold, silver, palladium, Swiss franc rise as Korea tensions flare as North Korea tests ‘hydrogen bomb’
– North Korea prepares for possible ICBM launch says S. Korea
– U. S. warns of ‘massive,’ ‘overwhelming’ military response to North Korea after meeting with Trump
– Trump weighing new economic sanctions that target China
– Gold is consolidating above the $1,300/oz key resistance level and building on 4% gain seen in August
Safe haven gold continued to eke out further gains of 0.73% today and reached its highest level in 11 months at $1,338.65/0z. The latest gains came after North Korea’s latest and most powerful nuclear test again saw investors diversify into safe haven gold and other safe haven assets.
Asian and European shares have fallen and the geo-political risk led to the the usual knee-jerk shift to safe havens pushing the yen, Swiss franc, gold and silver higher.

This post was published at Gold Core on September 4, 2017.

Precious Metals Outperform Markets In August – Gold +4%, Silver +5%

– All four precious metals outperform markets in August
– Gold posts best month since January, up nearly 4%
– Gold reaches highest price since US election, climbs due to uncertainty and safe haven demand
– S&P 500 marginally higher; Euro Stoxx, Nikkei lower for month
– Platinum is best performing metal climbing over 5%
– Palladium climbs over 4% thanks to seven year supply squeeze
– Fear, uncertainty and political sanctions are amongst biggest drivers for precious metals
– Never been a better time to diversify and rebalance portfolios with stocks and bonds near record highs and looking vulnerable
Editor: Mark O’Byrne
All four precious metals have made gains in the month of August.
Whilst platinum and palladium’s leading performances can largely be attributed to industrial factors they have also benefited from the safe haven demand which is driving gold and silver prices.
Safe haven demand really came into its own this last month. Issues with North Korea have stepped up a level whilst markets have finally begun to question the complacency they have been feeling in regard to the US political and financial situation, geopolitical risk and the increasingly uncertain outlook for the global economy.

This post was published at Gold Core on September 1, 2017.

Palladium Suddenly Spikes To 16-Year Highs

Amid hope for reinvigorated auto production (after Hurricane Harvey’s destruction) and yesterday’s escalation in US-Russia tensions (Russia being the world’s largest producer), spot Palladium is spiking today, hitting its highest since record highs in January 2001.
While the entire gamut of industrial and precious metals have been rising recently (the latter on the back of Chinese demand hype), Palladium prices exploded today out of nowhere (biggest jump in 7 months).
Pushing the precious metal to its highest in 16 years…
There appear to be a few catalysts for the recent trend and today’s spike…
1. China’s commodity panic-buying trend
There just appears to be blind panic-buying momentum from China in any and every industrial metal and along with gold prices surging amid North Korea and debt ceiling drama, we suspect Palladium is catching a bid on the back of that.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on Sep 1, 2017.