THE BIG REVERSAL
After three and half decades the global economy has now entered a three and half year period of slow rotational change which will likely be seen in future years as the “Great Reversal”.
DEBT + DEMOGRAPHICS + DISRUPTION = DEFLATION
We are leaving an era which as witnessed unprecedented global debt growth, work force demographics and the emergence of profoundly disruptive technologies. These trends through globalization, labor arbitrage, and oversupply have coupled to deliver slow inflation, disinflation and even deflation in various areas of the world.
What we have experienced during this era on a global basis is:
A decline in real interest rates (which have been a prime supporter of asset prices), A drop in real labor earnings in advanced economies, and, A meteoric rise in inequality within countries alongside a drop in inequality between them.
This post was published at GoldSeek on 5 November 2017.