Yuan Movements Highlight China’s Attempt to Halt 10th Month of Export Contraction; Major Currency War Coming Up?

Chinese manufacturers see further deterioration in business conditions, down 10 consecutive months as noted in the latest Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI release.
Operating conditions faced by Chinese goods producers continued to deteriorate in December.
Adjusted for seasonal factors, the Purchasing Managers’ Index, operating conditions in the manufacturing economy registered below the neutral 50.0 value at 48.2 in December, down from 48.6 in the previous month. Business conditions have now worsened in each of the past 10 months. That said, the latest deterioration was modest overall.
Production declined for the seventh time in the past eight months, driven in part by a further fall in total new work. Data suggested that client demand was weak both at home and abroad, with new export business falling for the first time in three months in December. As a result, manufacturers continued to trim their staff numbers and reduce their purchasing activity in line with lower production requirements. Meanwhile, deflationary pressures persisted, as highlighted by further marked declines in both input costs and selling prices.

This post was published at Global Economic Analysis on Sunday, January 03, 2016.