Chicago PMI Unexpectedly Dives to Negative Territory; Production at Lowest Since July 2009; Emanuel’s Tax Hikes Will Make Matters Worse

Jon Blogosphere, Economy

The Chicago PMI is in negative territory, plunging to 48.7 from a prior reading of 54.4 and a Bloomberg Consensus Estimate of 53.6.
Giant swings are common enough for the Chicago PMI which collapsed nearly 6 points in September to a sub-50 reading of 48.7. This indicates slight monthly contraction in the Chicago region’s composite activity.
New orders are below 50 as are backlog orders, the latter for an 8th straight month. Chicago-area businesses can’t rely on backlogs as much to keep up production which is also under 50 and at a 6-year low. Contraction in prices is deepening.
Recent History Of This Indicator
The Chicago PMI is expected to slow to 53.6 in September from 54.4 in August when delays in shipments gave the index a lift.

This post was published at Global Economic Analysis on September 30, 2015.