Potential Precious Metals Meltdown Scenario

I believe last week marked an important turning point for the precious metals stocks. After two months of chopping in a tight trading range GDM, which I’m going to us as a proxy for the big cap precious metals stocks, finally broke below the critical brown shaded support and resistance zone. This was a big deal for me as now all those bottoms that had been holding support should now offer important resistance on any backtest.
This first chart for GDM shows the two month trading range that one could call either a double top or if you use your imagination you can see a double headed H&S top with a small left and right shoulder. It really doesn’t matter what you call the trading range above the brown shaded support and resistance zone, it’s the S&R zone that matters the most. That S&R zone is now our line in the sand, above is bullish and below is bearish. If GDM is indeed starting a new impulse move lower we should start to see a bunch of black candles forming one below the next. Note all the white candles that formed during the rally off of the June low which told us the move was strong. One last point on the chart below. I’ve labeled the price action below the brown shades support and resistance zone as having a possible reverse symmetry move down which would look similar to the June rally only in reverse. The main thing to keep an eye right now is to see if we get a backtest to the previous support zone at 710 that should now reverse its role and act as resistance.

This post was published at GoldSeek on 9 September 2014.